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Colombia Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: While Colombia's economy possesses strong growth potential, headwinds are lingeringthroughout 2016, resulting in lower commodity prices and a weak peso. This has dented consumerconfidence and spending levels, which is in turn affecting the retail sector. High inflation will also forcehouseholds to delay larger purchases till conditions stabilise. We expect the macroeconomic environment toimprove considerably towards the end of 2016 and into 2017.

Key Views And Developments

- Ripley, a Chilean retailer, and one of the two largest department store chains in Colombia, has announcedthat it would be leaving the country after accumulating USD27mn in losses in 2014 alone due tounexpected macroeconomic shifts. The firm operated six stores in Colombia.

- Grupo Uribe, one of the major franchise operators in Colombia, closed all of its 12 Mango stores in thecountry, quoting allegedly unfair competition as the reason for exit.

Table Of Contents

Colombia Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Colombia 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Colombia 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Colombia 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Colombia 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 20
Food and Drink 21
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Colombia 2013-2020) 22
Clothing and Footwear 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Colombia 2013-2020) 23
Household Goods 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (Colombia 2013-2020) 24
Personal Care and Effects 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (Colombia 2013-2020) 26
Household Income and Numbers Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (Colombia 2013-2020) 28
Table: Labour Market Data (Colombia 2013-2020) 30
Demographic Forecast 31
Table: Total Population (Colombia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Babies (Colombia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Children (Colombia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (Colombia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Colombia 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young People (Colombia 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Colombia 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Colombia 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Young Adults (Colombia 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Colombia 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Urban (Colombia 2013-2020) 38
Industry Risk/Reward Index 39
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 39
Colombia Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
Market Overview 43
Competitive Landscape 46
Clothing and Footwear 46
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 46
Household Goods 46
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 46
Electronics 47
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 47
Department Stores 47
Table: Selected Department Store Chains 47
E-commerce 48
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers 48
Pharmacies 48
Table: Selected Pharmacy Chains 48
Glossary 49
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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