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Greece Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Cheese production will see buoyant growth in the coming years due to strong exportopportunities, while sugar will remain on a declining trend as competition is set to increase in the EUmarket. Poultry consumption will outperform the livestock sector due to its lower cost, which will provide amodest push to corn production towards the end of our forecast period to 2020. As the Greek economy findssome relative stability, our forecasts remain unchanged from our last quarterly update.

Key Forecasts

- Poultry consumption from 2016 to 2020: up 17.6% to 208,200 tonnes. The cheaper price of poultrymeat will see it continue to gain ground against beef and pork. In 2017 we expect poultry consumption toexceed production for the first time.

- Cheese production to 2020: up 18.5% to 253,600 tonnes. Solid export opportunities will lead the wayin keeping the dairy segment supported.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 0.2% (from an estimated contraction of 0.2% in 2015, expected to growby 1.2% on average over 2016-2020).

- 2016 consumer price inflation: 0.6% (up from an estimated deflation of 1.1% in 2015).

- BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD13.3bn in 2016, up by 1.6% on 2015 level ofUSD13.1bn.

Table Of Contents

Greece Agribusiness Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Greece - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Structural Trends 13
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 15
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 15
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 16
Dairy Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Greece - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 17
Structural Trends 18
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 20
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 20
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 20
Livestock Outlook 21
Latest Updates 21
Table: Greece - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Risks To Outlook 21
Structural Trends 22
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 24
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 24
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 24
Sugar Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Greece - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Risks To Outlook 25
Structural Trends 26
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 28
Commodities Price Analysis 29
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 29
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts 29
Upstream Analysis 31
Europe Machinery Outlook 31
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 35
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 37
Europe GM Outlook 43
Downstream Analysis 49
Food 49
Latest Updates 49
Structural Trends 50
Table: Food Sales (Greece 2013-2020) 51
Regional Overview 53
Europe Regional Overview 53
Competitive Landscape 58
Table: Greece Agribusiness - Key Players 58
Demographic Data 59
Demographic Forecast 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Greece 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Greece 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Greece 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (Greece 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Greece 1990-2025) 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65

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ref:plp2016

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