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Poland Autos Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

In 2015, BMI forecasts total vehicle sales in Poland to increase 6.2%, to 416,221 units. This comes on the back of a forecasted 5% increase in passenger car sales led by an uptick in private consumption and a 12.5% increase in commercial vehicle (CV) registrations.
We believe the expansion in car sales seen in 2014 will continue throughout 2015 growing by 5% to 343,580 units, owing to our Country Risk team's bullish assessment of private consumption fundamentals.
Consumer spending will be boosted by low interest rates, a low household debt burden, growing employment and wages as well as low inflation, which, in turn, will all filter through into demand for bigticket purchases such as cars.

Table Of Contents

Poland Autos Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2019) 15
Sales 15
Production 18
Trade 26
Passenger Vehicles 27
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2019) 27
Sales 27
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units 29
Used Cars 30
Production 31
Commercial Vehicles 32
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2019) 32
Sales 32
Table: LCV Sales By Brand, Units 33
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units 34
Table: Bus Sales By Brand, Units 34
Production 35
Motorcycles 37
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2019) 37
Table: Motorcycle Sales By Brand, Units 39
Suppliers 42
Macroeconomic Forecasts 45
Economic Analysis 45
Real GDP By Expenditure Components 45
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019) 48
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 49
Europe - Risk/Reward Index 49
Table: Europe Autos Risk/Reward Index 52
Company Profile 54
Company Monitor 54
VW: Piech Out As VW Looks For Global Lead 54
PSA: Family Feud Clouds Ownership Future 54
Renault: Increased Government Influence Shakes Alliance 55
Regional Overview 57
Industry Trend Analysis 57
Global Industry Overview 60
Table: Passenger Car Sales March (CBUs) 60
US Slowdown A Temporary Glitch? 60
Europe Recovery Will Be Steady 62
Asia Carries The BRIC States 63
Demographic Forecast 65
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 66
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 66
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 68
Methodology 70
Industry Forecasts 70
Sector-Specific Methodology 71
Sources 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 72
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 73

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