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Russia Retail Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Low oil prices will keep the economy in recession in 2016, while elevated inflation, currencyweakness and government budget cuts will further erode household spending power. We forecast anotherdifficult year for the retailers, with the total industry value contracting by double-digit figures for thesecond year in a row.

Key Views And Developments

- We believe the recovery in the Russian retail sector will not materialise at least until 2017. We forecast asteep decline, of 15%, in headline household spending in 2016.

- Food and non-alcoholic drinks, along with transport, will remain the two largest spending categories,together accounting for nearly 45% of the total expenditure.

- French home improvement retailer Leroy Merlin expects to open 16 new outlets in Russia in 2016 andtriple the store count in the country by 2020.

Table Of Contents

Russia Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Russia 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Russia 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drinks And Tobacco 19
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 19
Clothing And Footwear 20
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 22
Personal Care And Effects 23
Table: Personal Care Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 23
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Russia 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (Russia 2013-2020) 28
Demographic Forecast 29
Table: Total Population (Russia 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Babies (Russia 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (Russia 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (Russia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Russia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (Russia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Russia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: 21 Years-Plus (Russia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Russia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Russia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Russia 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk Reward Index 36
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 36
Russia - Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 45
Clothing And Footwear 45
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 45
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 46
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 46
Electronics 46
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 46
Department Stores 46
Table: Selected Department Stores 46
E-Commerce 47
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers 47
Drug Stores And Pharmacies 47
Table: Selected Drug Stores And Pharmacies 47
Glossary 48
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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