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Serbia Retail Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Serbian economy will continue to recover from the 2014 recession in the coming two years,aided by Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic's credible market-friendly and structural reform of the publicsector, along with the prospects of EU accession providing a policy anchor for the Serbian government.With a decrease in the unemployment rate and growth in household income, indications for retail growthremain promising.

Key Views And Developments

- While we maintain a cautious outlook for the Serbian retail sector, we expect strengthening householdspending to show from 2017 across our forecast period to 2020. In 2016, total household spending isforecast to show almost a 3% contraction in US dollar terms but then to grow again by 6.6% in 2017,reaching 7.3% in 2020.

- The total population will decrease by an average of 0.4% annually over the forecast period - one of thefastest rates in the region.

Table Of Contents

Serbia Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Serbia 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Serbia 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink and Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) 20
Clothing and Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Serbia, 2012-2019) 22
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Serbia 2013-2020) 25
Table: Labour Market Data (Serbia 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Serbia 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (Serbia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Children (Serbia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Serbia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (Serbia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Serbia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Serbia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Serbia 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 36
Serbia Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 46
Clothing and Footwear 46
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 46
Household Goods 47
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 47
Electronics 47
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 47
Department Stores 48
Table: Selected Department Store Retailers 48
E-Commerce 48
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers 48
Pharmacies 49
Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers 49
Glossary 50
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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