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Turkey Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The impact of Russian sanctions, the refugee crisis and terrorist attacks will be marked on theTurkish retail sector. Economic confidence began to improve again late in Q116 and is likely to continue togrow throughout the year. We expect a healthy increase in retail spending this year despite a lethargictourism sector and more cautiousness among retailers. An improving labour market and rising householdincomes will enable expansion beyond 2016 too.

Key Views & Developments

- After a sharp deterioration in Turkey-Russia relations and the Islamic State attack in Istanbul, economicconfidence rebounded in March, registering a 9.5% m-o-m increase, according to Turkish StatisticalInstitute. It will likely enable a stronger economic recovery from 2016 onwards.

- Online retail is on the rise as Hepsiburada, the largest player in the market, opened its marketplace toconventional retailers, and Trendyol, an online retailer of fast fashion, announced a plan of initial publicoffering in 2017.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Turkey 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Turkey 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Turkey 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Turkey 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food And Drink 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Turkey 2013-2020) 19
Clothing And Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Turkey 2013-2020) 20
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Turkey 2013-2020) 21
Personal Care And Effects 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Turkey 2013-2020) 22
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 23
Table: Household Data, 2013-2020 24
Table: Labour Market Data, 2013-2020 26
Demographic Forecast 28
Table: Total Population (Turkey 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Babies (Turkey 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Children (Turkey 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Children (Turkey 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Turkey 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young People (Turkey 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Turkey 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Turkey 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Adults (Turkey 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Turkey 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Urban (Turkey 2013-2020) 34
Industry Risk Reward Index 35
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 35
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 42
Clothing And Footwear 43
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 43
Household Goods 44
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 44
Electronics 45
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 45
Department Stores 45
Table: Selected Department stores 45
E-Commerce 46
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 46
Glossary 47
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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