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Ghana, Kenya & Nigeria Information Technology Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 117 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The volatility of demand in low-value and undeveloped IT markets such as those in Ghana,Kenya and Nigeria were underlined by the sharp downturn in 2014 and 2015. The decline in commodityand oil markets, and general increase in negative sentiment towards emerging markets resulted in currencydepreciation and erosion of purchasing power and sentiment, which was a negative shock in small andhighly price-sensitive markets. This served as a reality check on optimism regarding their economic growthtrajectory and IT markets as a lack of structural and institutional strength was laid bare. We expectimproved performance over the medium term, but caution that there is a long way to go before the rapidgrowth of IT spending observed in the higher income emerging markets is replicated in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Latest Updates & Developments

- Ghana Total IT Market Sales: GHS590mn in 2016 to GHS1.1bn in 2020, a compound annual growthrate (CAGR) of +16.7% in local currency terms. Ghana will continue to be a small and low-value retailand enterprise IT market, but a stronger economic outlook will see performance improve from 2014 and2015.

- Kenya Total IT Market Sales: KES47.3bn in 2016 to KES80.7bn in 2020, a CAGR of +14.3% in localcurrency terms. Kenya is the most developed IT market and we believe it has a stronger outlook than itspeers due to lower level of exposure to commodities market and greater modernisation momentum thatshould result in broader based economic growth.

- Nigeria Total IT Market Sales: NGN173.4bn in 2016 to NGN306.6bn in 2020, a CAGR of +15.3% inlocal currency terms. Nigeria is the largest market in the region, and has considerable long-term potential,but over our forecast period we believe low incomes and an unfavourable enterprise mix will constrainopportunities for vendors.

Table Of Contents

Ghana, Kenya and Nigeria Information Technology Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
IT SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Ghana 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (Ghana 2015-2020) 15
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ghana 2013-2020) 17
Kenya 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (Kenya 2015-2020) 21
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2020) 22
Nigeria 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (Nigeria 2015-2020) 27
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Nigeria 2013-2020) 28
Internet Technology Risk/Reward Index 29
Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Index 29
Table: IT RRI Scores By Region 30
Table: MEA IT Risk/Reward Index - Q216 32
Market Overview 33
Ghana 33
Hardware 33
Software 37
Services 40
Kenya 43
Hardware 43
Software 48
Services 54
Nigeria 58
Hardware 58
Software 63
Services 68
Industry Trends And Developments 73
Ghana 73
Kenya 77
Nigeria 81
Regulatory Development 84
Ghana 84
Table: NITA 84
Recent Developments 85
Kenya 88
Table: KICTA 88
Table: Kenya - 2013 ICT Masterplan Strategic Goals 89
Recent Developments 89
Nigeria 91
Table: NITDA 91
Recent Developments 91
Competitive Landscape 94
Ghana 94
Table: Intercom Programming and Manufacturing Company (IPMC) 94
Table: Persol Systems Limited 95
Table: RLG Communications 96
Kenya 97
Table: Craft Silicon 97
Table: IBM 97
Table: Seven Seas Technology (SST) 99
Nigeria 100
Table: Computer Warehouse Group (CWG) 100
Table: Systemspecs 102
Table: Zinox Technologies 103
Regional Overview 104
Demographic Forecast 108
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025) 109
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025) 109
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025) 110
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025) 110
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025) 111
Methodology 113
Industry Forecast Methodology 113
Sources 115
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 115
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators 116
Table: Weighting Of Components 117

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