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Global Market Analysis for 2-Cylinder Engines in Passenger Vehicles and Small Light Commercial Vehicles

  • April 2014
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 150 pages

Summary

Table of Contents

Europe and India to Propel the 2-cylinder Engine Market by 2020 with Diesel Dominance

Key Findings

The application of 2-cylinder internal combustion engines (ICEs) is very specific to OEM strategies and is significantly dependent on the original equipment manufacturer’s (OEM’s) vehicle portfolio. The A segment and possibly the B segment are the key primary application segments.
•Globally, 2-cylinder engines (internal combustion engines and range extenders) are expected to account for about x to x % share of the global engine production volume by 2020 from its current share of approximatelyx %. This is likely to account for about x to x million units by 2020. Europe and India are expected to continue as the only key global production hubs for 2-cylinder engines through 2020.
•The 2-cylinder engine market in Europe is expected to grow to about x to x million units by 2020, accounting for a penetration of about x to x % by 2020.
•India is expected to be the largest 2-cylinder engine producing market globally through 2020. It is expected to account for about x to x million units by 2020 and have a penetration of about x to x % of the overall engine production in India.
•Globally, x to x % of all 2-cylinder engines are expected to be turbocharged by 2020, from x % in 2013.
•Turbocharging: In Europe, as a result of the turbo downsizing trend, gasoline turbocharging is currently used in most of the offerings (for example, x out of x variants of Fiat’s gasoline 2-cylinder engines are turbocharged). However, in India, 2-cylinder gasoline engine turbocharging is not widely used. Diesel 2-cylinder engines are also expected to move towards being turbocharged by 2020.
•Fuel Injection: The high cost of gasoline direct injection limits its use in 2-cylinder engines. With diesel 2-cylinder engines, adoption of indirect injection (IDID) by Tata results in high volumes of 2-cylinder Diesel engines with IDID. However, adoption of Tata’s DICOR technology and similar adoption by Mahindra are expected to propel the market for direct injection diesel (DID).
Variable Valvetrain: VVT/VVA is used in the Fiat TwinAir engine, leading to high penetration of this technology in Europe. In India, Mahindra also implemented DOHC in the Maxximo.
•Other Technologies: Some 2-cylinder engines have been designed and developed with the flexibility to be able to include additive technologies in the future with increasingly stringent norms. The TwinAir (x hp), for example, has been designed with a compact structure to allow the inclusion of micro-hybrid capabilities.
•In Europe, about x % of the production is expected to be 2-cylinder ICEs, and the remaining x % is expected to comprise 2-cylinder range extender engines. Europe is expected to account for x % of the global 2-cylinder range extender engine production by 2020.
•Globally, diesel 2-cylinder engines are expected to dominate with a share of x to x % by 2020, primarily due to the market in India. This is expected to be followed by gasoline 2-cylinder engines at a share of about 35.0 to 38.0% because of OEMs such as Fiat-Chrysler. CNG 2-cylinders account for most of the remaining market as a result of recent introductions such as Fiat’s TwinAir CNG and similar introductions by Indian OEMs.
•Gasoline 2-cylinder engines are expected to dominate the European market with a share of about x to x % by 2020. The addition of expensive after-treatment technologies is expected to increase the cost of Euro 6-compliant diesel engines, challenging 2-cylinder diesel applications in Europe. CNG, however, is expected to witness uptake, especially in countries such as Italy and Germany.
•The existing adoption of 2-cylinder engines within the mini-truck and minivan segments by Indian OEMs such as Mahindra and Tata is a key driver in India. Moreover, the adoption of diesel 2-cylinder engines by these OEMs as a result of consumer inclination and the popularity of diesel engines in India is expected to propel the market to about x – % by 2020.
•Globally, the *Tata group is expected to be the market leader with a share of about x to x % by 2020. Fiat-Chrysler and Suzuki group are expected to follow, accounting for over x % of the market.
•The adoption of gasoline engines by the European 2-cylinder engine market leader, Fiat-Chrysler, is a key driver for the growth of gasoline and CNG 2-cylinder engines. Fiat-Chrysler is expected to account for a share of x to x % of the total European market by 2020.
•In India, Tata Motors is expected to be the market leader, accounting for a share of about x to x % by 2020, followed by Maruti Suzuki and Mahindra Group. Suzuki’s expected development and adoption of a Diesel 2-cylinder engine in the short to mid term is expected to strongly position the OEM in India’s lucrative A-segment diesel vehicle space.

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