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  4. > Lebanon Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Lebanon Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector.

Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Lebanon Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Lebanon - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 17
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Economic Analysis 21
Table: Economic Activity (Lebanon 2010-2019) 27
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 27
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 27
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 28
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 29
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 30
Competitive Landscape 31
Market Structure 31
Protagonists 31
Table: Protagonists In Lebanon's Commercial Banking Sector 31
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 31
List of Banks 32
Table: List of Banks Operating in Lebanon 32
Company Profile 35
Bank Audi 35
Table: Stock Market Indicators 37
Table: Balance Sheet (LBPmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
Bankmed 39
Table: Balance Sheet (LBPmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
BLOM Bank 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (LBPmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Byblos Bank 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 46
Table: Balance Sheet (LBPmn) 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
Credit Libanais 48
Table: Balance Sheet (LBPmn) 49
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 49
Regional Overview 50
Middle East Overview 50
Iran Offers Opportunities 54
Islamic Banking 56
Recent Developments 57
Global Industry Overview 58
Industry Forecast 58
The Reserves Penalty 58
Mixed Results So Far 61
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 66
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 67
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 69
Demographic Forecast 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Lebanon 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Lebanon 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Lebanon 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Lebanon 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Lebanon 1990-2025) 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 79

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