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  4. > Serbia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Serbia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Serbia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, February 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 17
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 19
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook 19
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 19
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 20
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 21
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 22
Economic Analysis 23
Competitive Landscape 27
Market Structure 27
Protagonists 27
Table: Protagonists In Serbia's Commercial Banking Sector 27
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 28
List of Banks 28
Table: Banks in Serbia 28
Company Profile 30
Banca Intesa ad Beograd 30
Table: Balance Sheet (RSDmn) 31
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 31
Table: Key Ratios (%) 32
Eurobank ad Beograd 33
Table: Balance Sheet (RSDmn) 34
Komercijalna Banka ad Beograd 35
Table: Stock Market Indicators 36
Table: Balance Sheet (RSDmn) 36
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 37
Societe Generale banka Srbija ad Beograd 38
UniCredit Bank Srbija ad Beograd 40
Table: Stock Market Indicators 41
Table: Balance Sheet (RSDmn) 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 42
Table: Key Ratios (%) 42
Regional Overview 43
Emerging Europe Overview 43
Global Industry Overview 50
Industry Forecast 50
The Reserves Penalty 50
Mixed Results So Far 53
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 58
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 59
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 61
Demographic Forecast 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Serbia 2005-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Serbia 2005-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Serbia 2005-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sector-Specific Methodology 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

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