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West Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 155 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our Q315 West and Central Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of seven countries: Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Gabon, Mali, Mauritania and Senegal. Strong growth over the
last decade will lead to more saturated market conditions towards the end of our forecast and operators will increasingly shift their resources towards advanced data services to sustain revenue growth. Their efforts will be complemented by the proliferation of low-cost smartphones and tablets as well as cheaper and more reliable access to international bandwidth connectivity via submarine cables. Despite this, regionally 3G/4G shares of the mobile markets will remain lower than that of the more advanced peers in Europe and Middle-East.

Key Data
- In our forecast period ending 2019, we expect compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to reach 4% for theseven countries in our coverage, leading with the DRC at 14.1% and ending with Gabon at 1.1%.
- The positions are reversed, unsurprisingly, for our estimated penetration rates for 2014, with Gabon topping the region at 184.2%, with DRC reporting a rate of 56%. The seven countries' average is 109%, well above the regional average of 86.9%.
- The seven countries still have further room for growth in terms of 3G adoption, as they all fall below the region's average of 18.6%. Mali topped the list with 18.5%, with Cameroon bottom at 2.3%

Table Of Contents

West Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 9
SWOT 11
Industry Forecast 14
Cameroon 14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cameroon 2012-2019) 14
Côte d'Ivoire 18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cote d`Ivoire 2012-2019) 18
Democratic Republic Of The Congo (DRC) 21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Congo (DRC) 2012-2019) 21
Gabon 24
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Gabon 2012-2019) 24
Mali 26
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mali 2012-2019) 26
Mauritania 29
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mauritania 2012-2019) 29
Senegal 31
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Senegal 2012-2019) 31
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 34
Industry Risk Reward Index 34
Table: SSA Risk/Reward Index - Q315 38
Market Overview 40
Cameroon 40
Table: Regional Perspective, 2014 40
Key Developments 40
Mobile Growth 41
ARPU 43
Networks And Mobile VAS 44
MVNO 45
Table: Cameroon Mobile Market, Q115 46
Fixed Line and Internet 46
Table: Cameroon Broadband Market 48
Côte d'Ivoire 49
Table: Regional Perspective, 2014 49
Key Developments 49
Mobile Growth 50
Market Shares 51
ARPU 52
Networks 53
Table: Côte d'Ivoire Mobile Market, Q414 54
Fixed Line and Internet 54
Democratic Republic Of The Congo (DRC) 57
Table: DRC Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 57
Key Developments 57
Mobile Growth 58
Market Share 59
ARPU 60
Networks 61
Table: DRC Mobile Market, Q414 61
Fixed Line and Internet 62
Gabon 63
Table: Gabon Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 63
Key Developments 63
Mobile Growth 63
Market Share 64
ARPU 65
Networks 65
Table: Gabon Mobile Market, Q414 66
Fixed-Line and Internet 66
Mali 67
Table: Mali Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 67
Mobile Growth 68
Market Share 68
ARPU 69
Table: Mali Mobile Market, Q314 70
Fixed Line and Internet 70
Mauritania 72
Table: Mauritania Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 72
Key Developments 72
Mobile Growth 72
Market Share 73
ARPU 73
Table: Mauritania Mobile Market, Q414 75
Fixed Line and Internet 75
Senegal 77
Table: Senegal Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 77
Key Developments 77
Mobile Growth 77
Market Share 78
ARPU 79
Networks 80
MVNOs 81
Table: Senegal Mobile Market, Q314 81
Fixed Line and Internet 81
Table: Senegal Internet Market Growth 82
Mobile Content 83
Table: Selected Value-Added Services Developments, October 2014-January 2015 86
Regulatory Development 88
Regulatory Environment And Industry Developments 88
Table: West And Central Africa Telecoms Regulators 88
Company Profile 95
Maroc Telecom 95
Table: Maroc Telecom's Operational Data 97
MTN 99
Table: MTN Indicators, 2013-2014 102
Orange 104
Table: Orange's Proportional Subscriptions 107
Regional Overview 110
Demographic Forecast 114
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025) 115
Table: Key Population Ratios (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025) 115
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025) 116
Table: Population By Age Group (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025) 116
Table: Population By Age Group % (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025) 117
Demographic Forecast 119
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cote d`Ivoire 1990-2025) 120
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cote d`Ivoire 1990-2025) 120
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Cote d`Ivoire 1990-2025) 121
Table: Population By Age Group (Cote d`Ivoire 1990-2025) 121
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cote d`Ivoire 1990-2025) 122
Demographic Forecast 124
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cameroon 1990-2025) 125
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cameroon 1990-2025) 125
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Cameroon 1990-2025) 126
Table: Population By Age Group (Cameroon 1990-2025) 126
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cameroon 1990-2025) 127
Demographic Forecast 129
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Gabon 1990-2025) 130
Table: Key Population Ratios (Gabon 1990-2025) 130
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Gabon 1990-2025) 131
Table: Population By Age Group (Gabon 1990-2025) 131
Table: Population By Age Group % (Gabon 1990-2025) 132
Demographic Forecast 134
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mali 1990-2025) 135
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mali 1990-2025) 135
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mali 1990-2025) 136
Table: Population By Age Group (Mali 1990-2025) 136
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mali 1990-2025) 137
Demographic Forecast 139
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mauritania 1990-2025) 140
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mauritania 1990-2025) 140
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mauritania 1990-2025) 141
Table: Population By Age Group (Mauritania 1990-2025) 141
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mauritania 1990-2025) 142
Demographic Forecast 144
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Senegal 1990-2025) 145
Table: Key Population Ratios (Senegal 1990-2025) 145
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Senegal 1990-2025) 146
Table: Population By Age Group (Senegal 1990-2025) 146
Table: Population By Age Group % (Senegal 1990-2025) 147
Glossary 149
Table: Glossary Of Terms 149
Methodology 151
Industry Forecast Methodology 151
Sources 153
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 153
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 154
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 155

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