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Global Broadband - Demand for Fibre Networks Grows

  • June 2014
  • -
  • Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd
  • -
  • 140 pages

Global broadband market heading in the right direction
The global broadband market is heading in the right direction with both average broadband speeds going up - and broadband pricing, on the whole, coming down. This combined with the growing demand for fibre network infrastructure creates an environment that is full steam ahead for fixed broadband.
With more than 100 countries now involved in the rollout of FttP; there is increased evidence that commercial demand exists for this infrastructure. In developed economies; FttP demand will, over the next 5 years, grow to between 30%-50% of the population. Competition aimed at the top end of this market will trigger a broader rollout.

Looking at previous developments in the internet/broadband market; it is safe to say that from now on demand for FttX connections will - around the globe - only increase. Countries are increasingly viewing the developments in broadband infrastructure as a utility, similar to models used for gas, electricity and water, and such a model is the key to universally affordable broadband access.
Attracting infrastructure funds to the telecoms industry remains one of the largest obstacles in developing national fibre infrastructure. However, there is one exception where we do see investors being active in the market and that is in backbone infrastructure. Pressured by competition from the wholesale providers using their copper networks as well as from increased competition from the mobile operators; national telcos are forced to invest more and faster in fibre networks in order to stay competitive.

With hundreds of countries adopting broadband policies; national broadband networks are now the accepted best practice for deploying broadband infrastructure. None of these countries' policies are identical; they are all different - they reflect the political, social, economical, financial and geographical conditions that prevail in each case. However all agree that a broadband infrastructure is needed to face the economic and social challenges that each country is facing, and the broadband infrastructure is perceived by all to be critical for the development of the digital economy, healthcare, education, e-government and so on. We also see that all the resource-rich countries have embarked on large-scale FttP projects in order to diversify their economies.

BuddeComm's new report, Global Broadband - The Demand for Fibre Networks Grows, provides important insights into the global fixed broadband market and includes trends, analyses, statistics and case studies. It provides analyses on the progress of broadband and fibre networks around the world and the key considerations when developing National Broadband Networks. In addition the report includes valuable regional overviews written by BuddeComm's Senior Analysts.
Examples of key insights:
In 2014 there are still large price differences around the world for fixed broadband services, however overall the prices of broadband have dropped making it increasingly more affordable.
BuddeComm predicts that, in the longer term, wholesale will remain one of the key growth markets in telecommunications, as it is essential for services such as e-health, tele-education, smart grids, etc. International IP bandwidth prices continue to decline around the world; albeit at a slower pace when compared to recent years.
There is evidence that the Dark Fibre segment is in a growth phase again; however unlike the 1990s when fibre cables were built with the expectation that demand would catch-up with the infrastructure - today there is usually an established reason to build fibre networks to meet actual demand.
In terms of future broadband subscriber growth; Asia in particular remains a key market, due partly to the interest in upgrading to broadband for online TV purposes. China, India and Indonesia especially are predicted for future growth, while the more developed markets of Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore are less so.
Eastern Europe and Latin America are also expected to grow significantly, while the markets of Western Europe and North America will experience slower growth.
The Gulf State countries are rolling out FttP at great speed.


Companies covered in this report include:

Alcatel-Lucent; AT&T; Belgacom; Bell Aliant; Bell Canada; Chunghwa Telecom; Chorus; China Telecom; China Unicom; Free; Google Fiber; GVT; KDDI; Mälarenergi Stadsnät; Mauritius Telecom; NBN Co; Network company (NetCo); NTT; Numéricable; Operating company (OpCo); Orange; SFR; SingTel; Telebras; TEO; Verizon; Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers 2013.
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year

Table Of Contents

Global Broadband - Demand for Fibre Networks Grows
1. The Growing Demand for Fibre
1.1 Introduction - Market-led demand for FttP is picking up
1.2 Broadband Infrastructure The Need For New Finance Models
1.2.1 Creative thinking required to address the issues
1.2.2 Fixed infrastructure
1.2.3 Next: Mobile networks
2. National Broadband Networks (NBN)
2.1 Introduction to National Broadband Networks
2.1.1 National broadband; leadership required
2.1.2 National Broadband Network Company
2.1.3 Open network = innovation and affordability
2.1.4 Technology critical consideration
2.1.5 Wireless broadband
2.1.6 Other quick-win areas
2.1.7 Trans-sector government
2.1.8 Using electricity infrastructure to roll out broadband
2.1.9 Broadband case studies
2.2 The Broadband Commission for Development
2.2.1 Broadband Targets for 2015
2.2.2 Transformative Solutions for 2015 and Beyond
2.2.3 Positive global stats moving on to Sustainable Development Goals
2.2.4 Shared and integrated ICT essential to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals
2.2.5 Broadband and Gender
2.2.6 The connected society
2.2.7 A cost-effective platform for progress
2.2.8 Trans-sector approach begins to take hold
2.2.9 The Concept
2.2.10 Developments in 2014
2.2.11 Developments in 2013
2.2.12 Developments in 2012
2.2.13 Developments in 2011
2.2.14 The final reports
3. Global Broadband Statistics and Trends
3.1 Market Overview
3.1.1 The end of HFC and FttN networks is approaching
3.1.2 Mobile broadband: killer app for FttP
3.1.3 Positive outlook for investments in backbones
3.1.4 Global fixed broadband market summary
3.1.5 International IP wholesale market
3.1.6 Countries with broadband policies
3.1.7 Global submarine cable overview
4. Regional Overviews
4.1 North America
4.1.1 USA
4.1.2 Canada
4.2 Latin America
4.2.1 Brazil
4.2.2 Other markets
4.3 Europe
4.3.1 Alternatives to fibre
4.3.2 France
4.3.3 Sweden
4.3.4 Lithuania
4.4 Africa
4.5 Middle East
4.5.1 Bahrain
4.5.2 Iran
4.5.3 Iraq
4.5.4 Israel
4.5.5 Jordan
4.5.6 Kuwait
4.5.7 Lebanon
4.5.8 Oman
4.5.9 Qatar
4.5.10 Saudi Arabia
4.5.11 Syria
4.5.12 Turkey
4.5.13 United Arab Emirates
4.5.14 Yemen
4.6 Asia
4.6.1 Taiwan
4.6.2 Japan
4.6.3 South Korea
4.6.4 Singapore
4.6.5 China
4.7 Pacific Region
4.7.1 Australia
4.7.2 New Zealand
Table 1 Global - Internet users and annual change 2009 - 2014
Table 2 Global - fixed broadband subscribers and annual change 2005 - 2014
Table 3 Global ICT spending 2012 - 2015
Table 4 Global - telecoms expenditure as a percentage of GDP 1990; 2006; 2009; 2012
Table 5 Global - mobile subscriptions and annual change 2009 - 2014
Table 6 Denmark - fibre broadband subscribers 2005 - 2014
Table 7 Global - Internet users and annual change 2009 - 2014
Table 8 Regional market share of broadband subscribers Q2 2012; Q1 2013
Table 9 Global - fixed broadband subscribers and annual change 2005 - 2014
Table 10 Top ten broadband countries by subscribers Q2 2012; Q1 2013
Table 11 Top ten broadband countries by penetration 2012
Table 12 Global - broadband market share by access technology Mid 2010; Mid 2012; Q1 2013
Table 13 Global broadband subscribers by access technology 2013
Table 14 Average broadband price per month selected countries Q1 2013
Table 15 OECD top 5 countries with most expensive and cheapest broadband price per Mb/s - March 2012
Table 16 Global - average entry level monthly broadband price by technology Q4 2010 - 2012
Table 17 Regional - average entry level monthly broadband price by technology Q2 2012
Table 18 Average broadband connection speed - top 10 countries Q4 2011; Q4 2012; Q4 2013
Table 19 Global - average overall fixed broadband and upload speeds 2008 - 2012
Table 20 Global total broadband services revenue 2011; 2012
Table 21 Global average monthly fixed broadband ARPU 2011; 2012
Table 22 Selected country examples of average monthly fixed broadband ARPU - 2011; 2012
Table 23 Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers - 2013
Table 24 Countries with existing national broadband policies 2013
Table 25 USA - FttP homes passed and connected 2001 - 2013
Table 26 Canada - Broadband availability through Economic Action Plan 2010 - 2012
Table 27 Brazil - Telefónica/Vivo FttP homes passed and connected 2008 - 2014
Table 28 Europe - FttX subscriptions and penetration 2011 - 2014
Table 29 Europe proportion of broadband connections by speed 2007 - 2014
Table 30 Europe proportion of ultra-fast broadband connections by speed 2010 - 2014
Table 31 France - High-speed broadband lines, by data rate 2008 2013
Table 32 France - FttP equipped and passed buildings 2008 - 2013
Table 33 France - Orange fibre subscribers 2006 - 2014
Table 34 Sweden Fibre subscribers 2002 - 2014
Table 35 Bahrain - fixed broadband subscriptions 2010 - 2013
Table 36 Bahrain - broadband market revenue 2009 2012
Table 37 Iran - fixed broadband subscribers 2000 - 2014
Table 38 Iraq - fixed broadband subscribers 2006 - 2014
Table 39 Israel - fixed broadband subscribers 2001 - 2014
Table 40 Jordan - internet subscribers by access method 2009 Q2 2013
Table 41 Kuwait - fixed Broadband subscribers - 2001 - 2014
Table 42 Lebanon - fixed broadband subscribers and penetration 2002 - 2014
Table 43 Oman - fixed broadband subscribers 2004 - 2013
Table 44 Qatar - fixed broadband subscribers 2002 - 2014
Table 45 Saudi Arabia - fixed broadband subscribers 2001 - 2013
Table 46 Syria - fixed Internet subscribers and penetration rate 1999 - 2014
Table 47 Turkey - broadband subscribers and penetration 2001 - 2013
Table 48 Turkey - broadband subscribers by access technology 2004 - 2013
Table 49 UAE - fixed Internet subscribers and penetration 2000 - 2013
Table 50 Yemen - fixed broadband subscribers 2005 - 2014
Table 51 FttX subscribers Asia v. global 2003 - 2013
Table 52 Taiwan - Fixed-line broadband subscribers, penetration and proportion of internet subscribers 2000 - 2014
Table 53 Taiwan Fixed broadband subscribers and households March 2013
Table 54 Taiwan - Broadband subscribers and annual change by access December 2012
Table 55 Taiwan - Fixed-line and wireless broadband subscribers by technology 2003 2013
Table 56 Taiwan - FttX subscribers 2007 - 2014
Table 57 Taiwan - Chunghwa Telecom broadband subscribers by technology and market share 2001 - 2013
Table 58 Japan Broadband household connectivity and service availability 2006 - 2008; 2011
Table 59 Japan Broadband subscribers and households 2013
Table 60 Japan Broadband subscribers and market share by access type 2013
Table 61 Japan Fixed broadband subscribers by access type 1998 2013
Table 62 Japan Fixed broadband subscriber annual change / market share by access type 2001 - 2013
Table 63 Japan Broadband internet access from the home by technology type 1998 2012
Table 64 Japan FttH subscribers and market share by operator March 2013
Table 65 Japan FttH subscribers and penetration 2002 2014
Table 66 South Korea UBcN implementation goals in households/subscribers 2009 - 2013
Table 67 South Korea Fixed broadband internet subscriber growth and penetration rate 1998 - 2014
Table 68 South Korea Broadband subscribers and households July 2013
Table 69 South Koriea Broadband internet subscriber numbers by system 1998 - 2013
Table 70 South Korea Broadband market share by operator July 2013
Table 71 Singapore Broadband subscribers 1999 - 2013
Table 72 Singapore Overview of broadband/household subscribers July 2013
Table 73 Singapore Broadband subscribers by sector July 2013
Table 74 Singapore Broadband market share by major access types July 2013
Table 75 Singapore Total optical fibre broadband subscribers 2011 - 2014
Table 76 China Broadband subscribers, annual change and penetration 2000 - 2014
Table 77 China Broadband subscribers and households June 2013
Table 78 China Telecom broadband subscribers and annual change 2003 - 2012
Table 79 China Unicom broadband subscribers and annual change 2003 - 2012
Table 80 China Broadband subscribers and growth by access type June 2013
Table 81 China FttX subscribers 2006 - 2013
Chart 1 Global - Internet users 2009 - 2014
Chart 2 Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers - 2013
Chart 3 USA FttP homes passed and connected 2001 2013
Chart 4 Taiwan - Fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration 2000 - 2014
Chart 5 Taiwan - Fixed-line broadband subscribers by technology 2003 - 2012
Chart 6 Japan fixed broadband subscribers and population penetration 2000 - 2013
Chart 7 Japan FttX subscribers and population penetration 2002 - 2013
Chart 8 South Korea broadband subscribers and population penetration 2000 - 2013
Chart 9 South Korea share of broadband subscribers by technology 2002 - 2013
Chart 10 - Singapore Broadband market share by access type 2012
Chart 11 Singapore Fixed broadband subscribers DSL and cable modem 2001 - 2012
Chart 12 China broadband subscribers and household penetration 2002 - 2014
Exhibit 1 Technology fights against extreme poverty
Exhibit 2 Middle East youth unemployment new digital thinking needed
Exhibit 3 Belgium continues on path to national vectored VDSL
Exhibit 4 Canada Example of major fibre project the Alberta SuperNet

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