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  5. > India Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

India Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 107 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Indian government's decision to raise the natural gas price for undeveloped discoveries inhard-to-access areas, alongside regulatory improvements, will spur exploration and offer upside to ourproduction forecasts. The outlook on the refining sector remains broadly bullish, supported by strongforecast consumption growth, supportive government policies and continued market deregulation. Thenatural gas and LNG sector remains restrained due to limited domestic production, insufficient importcapacity and delays in building out infrastructure.

Key trends and latest updates for the Indian oil & gas sector are:

- The Indian government's decision to raise the natural gas price for undeveloped discoveries inundeveloped deepwater, ultra deepwater and high temperature-high pressure areas, alongside regulatoryimprovements, will spur exploration and help unlock resources in a number of prospective plays,including those in the Krishna-Godavari basin.

- The Hydrocarbon Exploration Licensing Policy (HELP) is the new uniform licensing system that coversall hydrocarbons under a single and policy framework, replacing the New Exploration Licensing Policy(NELP).

- However, changes in the licensing terms from a profit sharing to a revenue sharing structure coulddissuade some international oil companies from investing. A revenue sharing contract poses higher riskand entails a significantly longer period of cost recovery.

- Lower fuels subsidisation, rising consumption and a fall in global crude prices will offer strong support toIndia's refining sector over the coming years. State-owned refiners, which dominate the sector, will beable to secure cheaper crude oil cargoes and achieve better financial performance after the governmentallowed them to implement their own crude oil import policies.

Table Of Contents

India Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (India 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: India - Domestic Natural Gas Price 15
Upstream Projects 18
Table: Key Upstream Projects In India 18
Upstream Production - Oil 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Oil Production (India 2014-2019) 24
Table: Oil Production (India 2020-2025) 25
Upstream Production - Gas 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: India's Shale-Rich Basins 29
Table: Gas Production (India 2014-2019) 29
Table: Gas Production (India 2020-2025) 30
Refining 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (India 2014-2019) 33
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (India 2020-2025) 33
Refined Fuels Consumption 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (India 2014-2019) 38
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (India 2020-2025) 38
Gas Consumption 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Gas Consumption (India 2014-2019) 43
Table: Gas Consumption (India 2020-2025) 43
Trade - Oil 44
Latest Updates 44
Structural Trends 44
Crude Oil 44
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (India 2014-2020) 46
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (India 2020-2025) 47
Refined Fuels 47
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (India 2014-2019) 48
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (India 2020-2025) 49
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 50
Latest Updates 50
Structural Trends 50
Table: LNG Supply Deals 52
Table: Gas Net Exports (India 2014-2019) 52
Table: Gas Net Exports (India 2020-2025) 53
Industry Risk Reward Index 54
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 54
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 55
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Production Cuts Reinforce Bearish Outlook 56
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 57
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Refinery Developments Lift Scores For Malaysia And The Philippines 58
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 59
India - Risk/Reward Index 60
Upstream Index 60
Downstream Index 60
Market Overview 61
Energy Market Overview 61
Regulatory Environment 61
Licensing Regime 61
Table: MPSC Main Licensing Terms 61
Fiscal Regime 62
Table: MPSC Main Fiscal Terms 62
Licensing Rounds 62
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 63
Oil Refineries 63
Table: India Operational Oil Refineries 63
Table: India - Crude Oil Pipelines 64
Table: India - Refined Products Pipelines 65
Table: India - LPG Pipelines 66
LNG Terminals 67
Table: LNG Terminals In India 67
Table: India - Natural Gas Pipelines 68
Competitive Landscape 69
Competitive Landscape Summary 69
Table: Key Players - India Oil and Gas Sector 71
Table: Key Upstream Players 71
Table: Key Downstream Players 71
Company Profile 73
Essar Oil 73
Latest Updates 73
Table: Major Upstream Assets In India 74
Table: Major Downstream Assets In India 75
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 75
GAIL 76
Latest Updates 76
Table: Major Upstream Assets In India 77
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 78
IOC 79
Latest Updates 79
Table: Major Upstream Assets In India 80
Table: Major Downstream Assets In India 80
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 81
Oil India 82
Latest Updates 82
Table: Major Upstream Assets In India 84
Table: Major Downstream Assets In India 85
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 85
ONGC 86
Latest Updates 86
Table: Major Upstream Assets In India 87
Table: Major Downstream Assets In India 88
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 88
Reliance Industries 89
Latest Updates 89
Table: Major Upstream Assets In India 90
Table: Major Downstream Assets In India 91
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 91
Regional Overview 92
Asia Regional Overview 92
Glossary 100
Table: Glossary Of Terms 100
Methodology 102
Industry Forecast Methodology 102
Source 104
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 104
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 106
Table: Weighting 107

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