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The Hard Disk Drive Industry: Market Analysis And Processing Trends

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Information Network
  • -
  • 226 pages


Hard drive manufacturers Seagate Technology and Western Digital face an uphill battle in attempting to sustain sales of traditional rotating-disk drives in the coming years. It all comes down to the price. Traditional storage drives currently cost around 7 to 8 cents per usable gigabyte, whereas even the best-priced SSDs cost over $0.40 per usable gigabyte. SSD prices have been falling drastically in the last few years as demand has picked up. Prices are likely to continue to drop in the coming years, thereby posing a major threat to hard drive makers such as Seagate and Western Digital. Samsung leads the pack of SSD manufacturers with a commanding 40% share in the SSD market.

This report focuses on the entire hard disk drive market food chain, analyzing the markets for hard disk drives, substrates, and thin film heads. Processing issues in the manufacture of each of these sectors in included and the report details the CMP and Lithography sectors of thin film head processing. Market forecasts and market shares of all sectors are detailed. The SSD market is also analyzed.

Table Of Contents

The Hard Disk Drive Industry: Market Analysis And Processing Trends
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter 1 The Disk Drive Market Infrastructure 1-1

Chapter 2 The Hard Disk Drive Industry 2-1

2.1 Hard Disk Drive Trends 2-1
2.2 Hard Disk Form Factors 2-10
2.3 Hard Disk Drive Market Analysis 2-14
2.3.1 Desktop PCs 2-23
2.3.2 Portable PCs 2-23
2.3.3 Enterprise 2-26
2.3.4 Consumer Electronics 2-26
2.4 Competitive Structure 2-34
2.4.1 HDD Market Share 2-34

Chapter 3 The Solid State Drive Industry 3-1

3.1 Solid-State Drives (SSD) Trends 3-1
3.2 Solid-State Drives Market Analysis 3-2
3.2.1 Client SSD Trends and Forecast 3-8
3.2.2 Enterprise SSD Trends and Forecast 3-15
3.2.3 Hybrid Hard Drives (HHD) Forecast 3-20
3.3 3D NAND Forecast 3-23
3.3.1 Comparison of 3D-NAND Structures 3-25
3.4 SSD Capacity Forecast 3-29

Chapter 4 Recording Heads 4-1

4.1 Thin Film Read/Write Heads 4-1
4.1.1 Thin Film (TF) Heads 4-2
4.1.2 Magnetoresistive (MR/AMR) Heads 4-2
4.1.3 Giant Magnetoresistive (GMR) Heads 4-4
4.1.4 Colossal Magnetoresistive (CMR) Heads 4-7
4.1.5 Current-Perpendicular-To-Place (CPP) Heads 4-8
4.1.6 Ballistic Magnetoresistance (BMR) Heads 4-8
4.2 Trends 4-10
4.3 Recording Head Market Forecast 4-18

Chapter 5 Processing Trends And Markets 5-1

5.1 Head Processing 5-1
5.1.1 Head Fabrication - CMP, Deposition, Lithography 5-6
5.1.1.1 CMP Challenges 5-11
o Ceria Slurry For Glass Disk Market 5-17
o Oxide Slurry For Metal Disk Market 5-22
o Oxide Slurry For Thin Film Head Market 5-25
5.1.1.2 Lithography Challenges 5-28
5.2 Patterned Magnetic Media 5-31
5.2.1 Conventional Media 5-32
5.2.2 Patterned Media 5-34
5.3 Market Analysis Of Discrete Track Media 5-44
5.3.1 The Perpendicular Recording Movement 5-44
5.3.2 Cost of Ownership (CoO) Analysis 5-59
5.4 NAND Processing 5-65
5.4.1 2D NAND Processing 5-67
5.4.2 3D NAND Processing 5-73
5.4.2.1 Etch Challenges and Market Forecast 5-80
5.4.2.2 Deposition Challenges and Market Forecast 5-81
5.5 3D ReRAM Challenges 5-82

Chapter 3 The Media Market 3-1

3.1 Industry Trends 3-1
3.2 Media Profiles 3-5
3.3 Media Market Supplier Shares 3-7

Chapter 4 The Substrate Market 4-1

4.1 Platter Substrate Materials 4-1
4.1.1 Aluminum Disks 4-4
4.1.2 Glass Disks 4-6
4.2 Substrate Market 4-11
4.3 Substrate Suppliers 4-16
4.4 Glass Substrate Supplier Shares 4-21


LIST OF FIGURES

1.1 Hard Disk Drive Infrastructure 1-2
2.1 Hard Disk Drive Roadmap 2-2
2.2 Decrease In Average Price Of Storage 2-3
2.3 Heads Per Drive 2-5
2.4 Increase In Areal Density 2-7
2.5 HDD Market Forecast By Form Factor 2-17
2.6 HDD Market Percentages By Form Factor 2-19
2.7 1.8 inch HDD Market Forecast 2-20
2.8 Platter Forecast 2-21
2.9 Ratio of Platter to HDDs 2-22
2.10 Forecast of Desktop Computers 2-24
2.11 Forecast of Portable Computers 2-25
3.1 Revenues For HDD and NAND 3-6
3.2 Change In Memory Cost For HDD and NAND 3-7
3.3 Growth Of SSD For Consumer Applications 3-14
3.4 Growth Of SSD For Enterprise Applications 3-19
3.5 Forecast Of SSDS HDDS And Hybrid SSDS 3-21
3.6 Western Digital's Thin Hybrid SSD 3-22
3.7 Process Steps For Samsung's 3D NAND 3-26
3.8 Technology Challenges for Planar NAND Manufacturing 3-27
4.1 Detailed Structure Diagram Of A GMR Head Assembly 4-4
4.2 (A) CIP Recording Head Structure (B) CPP Head Structure 4-9
4.3 Evolution Of Slider/Air Bearing Surface 4-12
4.4 Evolution Of HDD Recording Head Formats 4-14
4.5 Market Forecast Of Recording Head Consumption 4-18
4.6 Heads Per Drive Forecast 4-19
4.7 Market Share Of Head Suppliers 4-20
5.1 Thin Film Head Structure 5-2
5.2 Critical Features In Thin Film Head Structure 5-3
5.3 Spin Valve Head Structure 5-4
5.4 Cross-Sectional View TFH Stacks 5-7
5.5 Cross-Sectional View Of A TFH Design 5-9
5.6 CMP Slurry System For TFH Wafer Polishing 5-15
5.7 Total Slurry Consumption For HDD Forecast 5-27
5.8 Critical Lithography Trends In Thin Film Heads 5-29
5.9 Conventional Multigrain Media 5-33
5.10 Patterned Media 5-35
5.11a Fabrication Of Patterned Media 5-37
5.11b Fabrication Of Patterned Media 5-38
5.12 Nanoimprint Lithography Fabrication Of DTR Media 5-42
5.13 Magnetic Materials For DTR 5-46
5.14 Example Of A Thin Film Stack For DTR 5-47
5.15 Nanoimprint Lithography Process 5-48
5.16 DTR Film Deposition Alternatives 5-53
5.17 Ion Beam Etching Processes 5-55
5.18 Planarization By Etchback 5-58
5.19 Industry Wafer Capacity Additions 5-66
5.20 Building Blocks Of NAND Memory 5-70
5.21 Capped Cell Structured Memory 5-71
5.22 3D NAND Cell String 5-74
5.23 3D NAND Staircase Vias 5-75
5.24 Different 3D NAND Architectures 5-77
5.25 Steps In Making A Vertical String (BICS) 5-78
5.26 Steps In Making A Vertical String (TCAT) 5-79
5.27 Emerging Non-Volatile Memory Comparison 5-83
6.1 HDD Media Structure 6-2
6.2 Market Shares Of Media Suppliers 6-8
6.3 Market Shares Of Independent Media Suppliers 6-9
7.1 HDD Platter Demand 7-13
7.2 HDD Shipment Forecast By Media Type 7-14
7.3 HDD Shipments By Media Type As Percentage Of Total 7-15
7.4 Glass Substrate Market Shares 7-22


LIST OF TABLES

2.1 HDD Shipments by Form Factor 2-16
2.2 HDD Shipments by Application 2-27
2.3 Consumer Electronics HDD Shipments by Application 2-31
2.4 HDD Supplier Market Shares -Total Market 2-35
3.1 Advantages of SSD over HDD 3-1
3.2 Storage Memory Growth 3-4
3.3 Interface forecast for Client SSD 3-11
3.4 Comparison Between Consumer And Enterprise SSD 3-13
3.5 NAND Capitalization Scenario For HDD Replacement 3-30
5.1 Slurry and Abrasive Suppliers And Products 6-19
5.2 Worldwide Ceria Slurry For Glass Media Market 6-21
5.3 Worldwide Oxide Slurry For Metal Market 6-24
5.4 Worldwide Oxide Slurry For Thin Film Heads 6-26
5.5 Cost Of Ownership Assumptions 6-60
5.6 Cost Of Ownership Analysis 6-62
5.7 Cost Of Ownership Analysis 6-64
7.1 Worldwide Glass Disk Capacity 7-23

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