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  4. > New Zealand Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

New Zealand Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

New Zealand Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking .. 9
Political . 10
Economic ... 11
Operational Risk . 13
Industry Forecast .. 15
Industry Trend Analysis 15
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ... 20
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ... 20
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . 21
Market Overview ... 22
Economic Analysis ... 22
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook . 27
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2015 . 27
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 . 27
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 28
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 29
Competitive Landscape 30
Market Structure . 30
Protagonists .. 30
Table: Protagonists In New Zealand's Commercial Banking Sector 30
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe . 30
List Of Banks . 31
Table: List of Banks in New Zealand . 31
Company Profile 32
ANZ Bank New Zealand Ltd ... 32
ASB Bank Limited 34
Table: Balance Sheet (NZDmn) . 35
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 35
Table: Key Ratios (%) 36
Bank of New Zealand ... 37
Table: Balance Sheet (NZDmn) . 38
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 38
Table: Key Ratios (%) 39
Westpac New Zealand Ltd . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (NZDmn) . 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 42
Table: Key Ratios (%) 42
Kiwibank ... 43
Table: Balance Sheet (NZDmn) . 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) 45
Regional Overview 46
Industry Trend Analysis 46
Global Industry Overview .. 52
Industry Forecast 52
The Reserves Penalty .. 52
Mixed Results So Far .. 55
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? ... 60
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 61
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 63
Demographic Forecast . 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (New Zealand 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (New Zealand 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (New Zealand 1990-2025) . 66
Table: Population By Age Group (New Zealand 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (New Zealand 1990-2025) . 67
Methodology .. 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Sector-Specific Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 71
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 73

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