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  4. > Sudan Power Report Q3 2016

Sudan Power Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A focus on hydropower investments will leave the Sudanese power sector vulnerable todroughts. Growth in electricity generation will remain subdued after 2017, after which we do not forecastany large new capacity coming online. Electricity generation in South Sudan will remain subdued due tolack of funding, which will be exacerbated by ongoing political instability.Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We are maintaining our hydropower generation forecasts from last quarter. We still include the Kajbardam for 2017, although we note that increased protests (even in the US) regarding the dam might increaseinternational pressure and the dam runs the risk of being cancelled.

- We are maintaining our thermal power generation forecasts from last quarter.

Due to a lack of updates onthe Red Sea thermal power plant, we refrain from factoring it into our forecasts.

- A framework agreement has been signed between the Sudanese and Chinese governments for ChinaNational Nuclear Corp to build a nuclear power plant in Sudan starting 2021 and aiming to finish by2027. If this deal goes ahead, this could signal a shift away from thermal power investment in the future.

- The South Sudanese government has stated that it is considering importing up to 400 megawatts fromUganda in order to help cover the large electricity deficit.

- The Sudanese capital Khartoum has been experiencing constant power outages, despite the statements byMinister of Electricity and Water Resources that the power cuts would end in June.

Table Of Contents

Sudan Power Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Sudan 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Sudan Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sudan 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sudan 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Sudan And South Sudan Power Forecast Scenario 11
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019) 15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025) 16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025) 17
Electricity Consumption 18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019) 18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025) 18
Transmission and Distribution 19
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019) 20
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025) 20
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019) 20
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025) 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Sub-Saharan Africa Power Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 27
Sudan And South Sudan Power Risk/Reward Index 28
Rewards 28
Risks 28
Market Overview 30
Key Policies And Market Structure 30
Competitive Landscape 33
Regional Overview 37
Middle East And Africa - Regional Overview 37
Glossary 45
Table: Glossary Of Terms 45
Methodology 46
Methodology And Sources 46
Industry Forecast Methodology 46
Sources 49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

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