Table of Contents
Operators Push Towards Profitability by Boosting Rolling Stock Sales and Vehicle Retirement Rates
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The Strategic Insight provides an outlook of growth opportunities in the global rail market. It discusses key trends, market drivers, opportunities, regional influences, and market dynamics. It also provides market sizes for infrastructure and rolling stock on a global scale. Market forecasts by region (Africa, Asia-Pacific, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Latin America, Middle East, and North America) are provided for ridership; freight traffic; network length; rail electrification; and installed bases for locomotives, passenger coaches, multiple units, and wagons. The study period is from 2012 to 2020; the base year is 2013. Strategic conclusions have also been provided.
Executive Summary—Key Findings
1 Overall growth in the rail sector is bottlenecked by factors such as low funding, low volumes, and political instability.
2 About% of the installed base of locomotives is likely to be liquid natural gas (LNG) capable by 2018. By 2020, the United States is expected to start exporting LNG globally, which will reduce the price of LNG in markets such as Europe. As LNG prices drop, more railroad operators will start looking at LNG as an alternative fuel for their locomotives.
3 Mainline network growth is expected to be pronounced in Africa as foreign investment in rail continues well beyond 2020. A new line from Swaziland to South Africa is expected to be completed by 2017. Swaziland is expected to have the highest railway growth among African nations by 2020. Profits for Swaziland railways grew% from 2012 to 2013.
4 Train operators are starting to use Internet protocol (IP) architecture for onboard Internet access, operation, and safety services. This provides an opportunity for new-generation multimedia applications developed in IP environments to build a common base.
5 China, France, and Japan are the largest markets for high-speed rail services, contributing to almost% of all high-speed rail traffic in 2013. With orders of new high-speed rail rolling stock by DB for its Intercity-Express services, Germany is expected to be among the top market by 2020.
Class I Railroad
US line-haul freight railroads with an operating revenue of $million or more in 2011
Supply of electric energy to locomotives and railcars so they can operate without an engine
High-speed Rail (HSR)
A rail system that operates at speeds above km/h using specialized rolling stock, control systems, and tracks
An urban rail transportation system with a higher capacity than a tram system but lower performance characteristics (such as speed and capacity) than metro and heavy rail systems
A vehicle that provides the motive power for a train and has no payload capacity of its own
An urban rail transportation system separated from other forms of traffic that offers high capacities and frequencies
A set of components that generate power and deliver it to the rails through the wheels
A self-propelled vehicle designed for the transportation of passengers; it can be used in multiples to form train sets
A single unit/bogie/carriage, several of which make a train/train set
A complete electric/diesel multiple train made up of several rolling stock units
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