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BRICs LTE Insight-BRICs LTE Market Development Analysis

  • July 2014
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 63 pages

BRICs Take a Quantum Leap in LTE Deployments

This Frost & Sullivan report will provide insight and analysis related to the development and deployment of Long Term Evolution (LTE) in BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China). Despite the fact that BRIC countries will be a bit slow out of the gate in terms of LTE subscriber adoption, Frost & Sullivan expects the pace to pick up in the later years of the forecast period.

Executive Summary - Key Findings
-LTE is the fastest growing wireless technology ever, achieving a % penetration of the global mobile subscriber installed base in 2013.
-Despite the tremendous growth of LTE in 2013, the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) countries have mostly lagged behind in embracing 4G technology. BRICs have exhibited the behavior of “smart followers” rather than early adopters when it comes to next generation technology deployments.
-Drivers for the BRICs’ uptake of LTE include 2014 events such as the Winter Olympics held in Sochi (Russia), and the World Cup held in various Brazilian cities.
-India has been lagging behind all of the BRICs in adopting 4G, much like 3G, but with the added issue of which track the country will eventually embrace (TDD or FDD). Initially, India allocated 4G spectrum in the MHz band, but the recent MHz auction suggests this spectrum might be re-farmed for 4G, with the MHz band still on the anvil.
-The Chinese operators are embarking on three different migration paths to LTE: one from 3G/GSM (W-CDMA) with China Unicom; another from 3G/CDMA (EV-DO) with China Telecom; and lastly, 3G TD-SCDMA with China Mobile.
-BRICs are hotly contested by various Network Equipment Vendors (NEVs), with Ericsson and Huawei leading, followed by ALU, NSN, and ZTE, among others.

Executive Summary-Definitions
Definitions
-BRIC: An acronym that refers to the countries of Brazil, Russia, India and China. BRIC countries represent the fastest growing emerging markets and are considered to be at a similar stage of economic development.
-LTE: The acronym for Long Term Evolution, the 4G standard for wireless communication of high speed data for mobile phones and data terminals.
-Subscriber: An end-user (either pre-paid or post-paid) of 4G/LTE services, including voice and data. A data-only user is also an option (e.g. LTE dongle as wireless broadband, an alternative to fixed broadband access).
-Spectrum: Spectrum is this insight refers to the frequency bands at which the various 4G/LTE installations are being deployed at; and upcoming spectrum auctions in BRIC countries in which various frequency ranges will be up for grabs, in addition to re-farmed spectrum, which will be earmarked for 4G/LTE from another previous wireless technology.
-4G Vendor: The winning vendor of the 4G/LTE RFP. It is common that there could be multiple winners for one particular carrier, as operators typically like to at least dual-source their purchases and also often rely on specialist vendors for certain particular areas of the deployment (e.g. small cell RFP winner can be different than the winner of the RAN portion of the RFP).

Table Of Contents

BRICs LTE Insight-BRICs LTE Market Development Analysis
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
Executive Summary-Key Findings
Executive Summary-Definitions
Executive Summary-Market Segmentation

2. KEY LTE TRENDS FOR BRICS

Key LTE Trends for BRICs
It's an LTE World
BRICs Following Later in the LTE Adoption Cycle
Spectrum Scarcity
Current Situation Analysis for BRIC Countries
Wireless Competition in BRIC Countries (HHI)
LTE Spectrum Fragmentation Impairs “Global” Handset
Spectrum Used in Commercially Launched LTE Networks
Spectrum Auctions for BRICs
Spectrum Re-Farming for BRICs
Why Re-Farming Lower Bands for 4G/LTE Makes Sense
Re-Farming-Better Lower Frequency Indoor Coverage
LTE Brings a Dramatically Lower TCO Compared to 2G
3 Development Axes for Social and Business Innovation

3. BRAZIL-LTE MARKET DEVELOPMENT ANALYSIS

Brazil-LTE Market Development Analysis
Brazil-A Few Facts
Brazilian Wireless Market-Competitive Landscape
Brazilian Wireless / LTE Market Trends
Brazilian LTE Deployments
Brazilian LTE Subscriber Forecast

4. RUSSIA-LTE MARKET DEVELOPMENT ANALYSIS

Russia-LTE Market Development Analysis
Russia-A Few Facts
Russian Wireless Market - Competitive Landscape
Russian Wireless / LTE Market Trends
Russian LTE Deployments
Russian LTE Subscriber Forecast

5. INDIA-LTE MARKET DEVELOPMENT ANALYSIS

India-LTE Market Development Analysis
India-A Few Facts
Indian Wireless Market-Competitive Landscape
Indian Wireless / LTE Market Trends
Indian LTE Deployments
Indian LTE Subscriber Forecast

6. CHINA-LTE MARKET DEVELOPMENT ANALYSIS

China-LTE Market Development Analysis
China-A Few Facts
Chinese Wireless Market-Competitive Landscape
Chinese Wireless / LTE Market Trends
Chinese LTE Deployments
Chinese LTE Subscriber Forecast

7. REGIONAL LTE DEPLOYMENTS BY VENDOR

Regional LTE Deployments by Vendor
Brazilian LTE Deployments
Russian LTE Deployments
Indian LTE Deployments
Chinese LTE Deployments

8. THE LAST WORD

The Last Word
Legal Disclaimer

9. THE FROST and SULLIVAN STORY

The Frost and Sullivan Story
Value Proposition-Future of Your Company and Career
Global Perspective
Industry Convergence
360º Research Perspective
Implementation Excellence
Our Blue Ocean Strategy

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