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Mobile Devices in 2020—Blended Reality

  • August 2014
  • 70 pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
Report ID: 2316123

Summary

Table of Contents

Quantifying and Augmenting the World; Transforming Health, Home, and Work

By 2020, a clear picture of the post-smartphone era will have emerged, the blended-reality era. The smartphone will be the central component of a personal Internet of Things, connecting with wearables, household objects and utilities, and connected vehicles to quantify, aggregate, and automate everyday tasks. Sensors, displays, and augmented reality services will blend a digital layer into the physical world, quantifying it for increased efficiency and optimisation. This research explores 6 key trends in mobile devices that will usher in this new era: context-aware devices, health monitoring, biometric transactions, battery improvements, display advancements, and eyewear.

Key Findings
-The Web will continue to fall in importance as apps proliferate across devices and domains such as medical, connected home, automotive, and retail.
-This new breed of apps will be ambient and use MEMS sensors to intelligently collect data and provide contextually relevant information.
-No single company will make all of the hardware; instead, Apple and Google will provide the operating systems and APIs for hardware and applications to plug into.
-The smartphone will fundamentally disrupt the healthcare industry as it exists in 2014.
-Sensors in smartphones and smartwear will reduce inefficiencies in the system and enable preventative care, reducing the demand on hospitals and elderly care.
-Low cost devices enable healthcare to be delivered cheaply across populations improving medical care and diagnosis.
-Biometric authorisation will take place on the smartphone and will include fingerprint and iris or voice modalities, limiting the need to include biometrics on other hardware.
-A wearable device without a display equipped with biometrics will offer frictionless authentication for transactions.
-Primary use cases will be identification for smart home applications such as locks and wireless payments.
-A battery revolution is unlikely unless there is an electric vehicle battery breakthrough and the ecosystem can be shared.
-Power will be supplied wirelessly in indoor spaces reducing the need for larger or more efficient batteries.
-Software-based power consumption and fast charging improvements will make mobile devices less power-hungry and reduce battery anxiety.
-A variety of displays will be available and act as a differentiator for original design manufacturers (ODMs). Some will offer pico projectors, others 3D screens, and others bendable screens.
-Rollable screens will be the breakthrough technology that will expand the screen real estate on a smartphone and make tablets less appealing.
-Graphene offers the potential for unbreakable, transparent, and extremely thin devices. This is likely to be utilised in smartwear, especially smart wristbands.
-Eyewear will offer a secondary and more immediate display than possible on a smartphone. AR applications will proliferate.
-Head-mounted displays will not achieve market penetration in the consumer space but will become standard in specific industries such as emergency services, healthcare, and education.
-Virtual reality will be the next gaming platform and will come to dominate training.

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