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Argentina Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Argentina's construction industry will suffer a contraction in 2016 as high inflation and sncertainty surrounding the liberalisation of the economy weigh on fixed-capital investment. However, from 2017 onwards, we expect the pro-business policies and reductions in capital controls to spur investment and spur a recovery in the industry. Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- As expected, new president Mauricio Macri has quickly rolled out major parts of his liberalisation agenda. We expect these trade and investment friendly policies to support the medium- to long-term outlook.

- However, we anticipate a contraction in construction industry value in 2016 as investors wait for inflation to fall, consumption to pick up and the full extent of Macri policies to become clear.

- As such we expect negative real growth of -4.6% this year, but positive growth over the long-term with an average annual real growth rate of 3.3% from 2017-2025.

- Chinese investment in the energy, utilities and rail sectors will remain elevated in the years ahead, accompanied by an expected uptick in foreign direct investment from other countries as well.

Table Of Contents

Argentina Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Argentina 2015-2025) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Argentina 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Argentina 2016-2026) 9
Structural Trends 10
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Table: Key Projects: Transport 18
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 19
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 26
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 27
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 28
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 29
Argentina - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 29
Rewards 29
Risks 30
Latin America Infrastructure RRI: Private Sector Participation Propelling Outperformers 31
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 38
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: Argentina EQS Data 39
Company Profile 42
Techint 42
Table: Techint Group Consolidated Highlights (USDmn) 44
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 51
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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