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  4. > Central America Autos Report Q4 2016

Central America Autos Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View:
We maintain our view that the Central American autos market in 2016 will continue to bedriven by rising private consumption rates due to remittance inflows and a low inflationary environment,but a poor business environment, rising violence and weaker growth in the construction sector will provideheadwinds to vehicle sales growth.

Key Views


- Slowdowns in fixed investment and construction activity will continue to negatively impact thecommercial vehicle segment.

- Increased remittance flows from US and improved manufacturing exports will support consumerspending and translate to growth in the passenger car segment.

- Rising violence and corruption will weigh on consumer and business sentiment and provide headwinds tovehicle sales.

Table Of Contents

Central America Autos Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Costa Rica Industry Forecast 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data and Forecasts (2014-2020) 9
Key Views 9
Structural Trends 9
El Salvador Industry Forecast 12
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (El Salvador 2014-2020) 12
Key Views 12
Structural Trends 12
Guatemala Industry Forecast 15
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Guatemala 2014-2020) 15
Key Views 15
Structural Trends 16
Honduras Industry Forecast 17
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Honduras 2014-2020) 17
Key Views 18
Structural Trends 18
Nicaragua Industry Forecast 20
Table: Autos Total Market (Nicaragua 2014-2020) 20
Key Views 21
Structural Trends 21
Panama Industry Forecast 23
Table: Autos Total Market (Panana 2014-2020) 23
Key Views 23
Structural Trends 23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 26
Industry Trend Analysis 26
Colombia Hit By Commodity Reliance 26
North American Stability Underlined 27
Brazil A Long Term Story 27
Regional Overview 28
Latin America 28
Table: Latin American Autos Production Investment 28
Motorcycle Segment Coming To Life 30
SUV Interest Sits Well With Consumer Tastes 30
Deeper Supply Chains Remain A Key Goal 31
Demographic Forecast 32
Demographic Outlook 32
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 33
Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 33
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 34
Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 34
Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 35
Demographic Outlook 37
Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025) 38
Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025) 38
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025) 40
Demographic Outlook 42
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Guatemala 1990-2025) 43
Table: Key Population Ratios (Guatemala 1990-2025) 43
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Guatemala 1990-2025) 44
Table: Population By Age Group (Guatemala 1990-2025) 44
Table: Population By Age Group % (Guatemala 1990-2025) 45
Demographic Outlook 47
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Honduras 1990-2025) 48
Table: Key Population Ratios (Honduras 1990-2025) 48
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Honduras 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group (Honduras 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group % (Honduras 1990-2025) 50
Demographic Outlook 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 55
Demographic Outlook 57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Panama 1990-2025) 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Panama 1990-2025) 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Panama 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (Panama 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Panama 1990-2025) 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecasts 62
Sector-Specific Methodology 63
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 65

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