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Ecuador Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Ecuador's infrastructure development will slow considerably over the next five years as the country faces the widest budget deficit in decades, mainly due to the sustained low oil price. The government's push for Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) will be critical to maintaining growth in the construction industry, particularly in the transport sector where there is a sizeable project pipeline.


Forecasts and Latest Updates

- After a considerable slowdown in Ecuador's construction industry growth in 2015, we expect growth to remain modest over the next few years. We forecast an average real growth of 1.1% in real terms between 2016 and 2020, a further downgrade this quarter compared to our previous forecasts. This is low compared to the 9.0% average growth rate between 2011 and 2015.

- Falling oil prices will have a detrimental impact on the government's capacity to spend in infrastructure development, particularly for projects in the planning stage. Our Oil & Gas team forecasts Brent to average USD60.3 per barrel over the next five years.

Table Of Contents

Ecuador Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ecuador 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Ecuador 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Ecuador - PPPs Critical In Light Of Low Oil Prices 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ecuador 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Developments 17
Structural Trends 18
Table: Competitiveness Of Ecuador's Infrastructure 18
Table: Key Projects: Transport 23
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Latest Developments 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 29
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 30
Latest Developments 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 34
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 35
Ecuador - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 35
Latin America Infrastructure RRI: Private Sector Participation Propelling Outperformers 37
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 44
Market Overview 45
Competitive Landscape 45
Table: EQS Data 45
Company Profile 47
Isolux Corsán 47
Semaica, Sevilla y Martinez 50
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sector-Specific Methodology 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Ecuador Infrastructure Report Q4 2016$$
Sector-Specific Methodology 58
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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