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Nordics Food and Drink Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View:
A consumer base with some of the strongest purchasing power in the world, combined with afavourable business and regulatory environment, will continue to be an attractive characteristic for foodand drink companies operating in Scandinavia. That said, market concentration and a weak demographicoutlook will limit growth for new entrants.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments


- Throughout our forecast period to 2020, household spending will experience healthy growth in theNordics, given the region's level of economic development. Nonetheless, performance will vary bycountry, with Sweden offering the fastest growth combined with the strongest demographic profile. Onthe other hand, Finland will experience the slowest growth rates across the region.

- Due to the maturity of the food and drink industry, we expect sales to slightly underperform headlinehousehold spending. In addition, we expect opportunities to be concentrated in premiumisation ratherthan volume growth.

- A long-term trend affecting the Nordics, as well as most Western European markets, is rising healthawareness among consumers. This will drive sales of foodstuff with high nutritional content. In the drinkssector, it will boost the performance of mineral waters and fruit juices at the expense of carbonated softdrinks.

- The adoption of healthier lifestyles will have a negative impact on alcoholic drinks consumption, withconsumers drinking less. Combined with strong government intervention in the sector, the industry willshow little dynamism. A relative bright spot will be the wine industry.

Table Of Contents

Nordics Food and Drink Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food and Drink 8
Industry Forecast 10
Regional Consumer Outlook 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Denmark 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Food Sales (Denmark 2013-2020) 14
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drinks Sales (Denmark 2013-2020) 17
Table: Total Alcoholic Drinks Spending And Consumption (Denmark 2013-2020) 19
Finland 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Food Sales (Finland 2013-2020) 22
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drinks Sales (Finland 2013-2020) 24
Table: Total Alcoholic Drinks Spending And Consumption (Finland 2013-2020) 25
Norway 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Food Sales (Norway 2013-2020) 28
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drinks Sales (Norway 2013-2020) 31
Table: Total Alcoholic Drinks Spending And Consumption (Norway 2013-2020) 33
Sweden 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Food Sales (Sweden 2013-2020) 36
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drinks Sales (Sweden 2013-2020) 39
Table: Total Alcoholic Drinks Spending And Consumption (Sweden 2013-2020) 41
Industry Risk Reward Index 43
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Western Europe - Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index, Q416 45
Nordics Risk/Reward Index 48
Market Overview 50
Food 50
Recent Developments 50
Market Drivers and Trends 50
Drink 53
Recent Developments 53
Market Drivers and Trends 53
Mass Grocery Retail 55
Recent Developments 55
Market Drivers and Trends 55
Demographic Forecast 58
Sweden Demographic Forecast 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sweden 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sweden 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Sweden 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Sweden 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sweden 1990-2025) 61
Norway Demographic Forecast 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Norway 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Norway 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Norway 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Norway 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Norway 1990-2025) 66
Denmark Demographic Forecast 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Denmark 1990-2025) 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (Denmark 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Denmark 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group (Denmark 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (Denmark 1990-2025) 71
Finland Demographic Forecast 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Finland 1990-2025) 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (Finland 1990-2025) 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Finland 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group (Finland 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (Finland 1990-2025) 76
Glossary 78
Food and Drink 78
Mass Grocery Retail 78
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sector-Specific Methodology 81
Sources 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 83
Table: Weighting 84

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