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Hong Kong Autos Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updatesAccording to the Hong Kong Department of Transport, domestic passenger car sales declined by 9.5% yearon- year (y-o-y) in April 2014 to 2,578 units, which is in line with our expectations of a more challenging market for the sector despite a strong start. This brings passenger car sales for the first four months of 2015 to 12,806 units, representing growth of 1.2% y-o-y. As we expect additional headwinds to weigh on passenger car sales in the latter half of the year, we now forecast passenger car sales to grow by 2.1% in 2015, down from 3.8% previously.

A key risk which we foresee over the coming quarters is a cooling property market will weigh on consumer sentiment. Our Country Risk team sees an increasing likelihood of a property price correction as demand from mainland Chinese investors, which have traditionally been an important source of demand for Hong Kong real estate, dries up due to the ongoing anti-corruption drive in China. A decline in property prices would hurt consumer sentiment and could easily have a negative spill over effect on passenger car demand.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Autos Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political . 11
Economic .. 12
Operational Risk . 13
Industry Forecast .. 15
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019) . 15
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019) 17
Table: Ex-Gratia Payment Scheme 18
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019) 18
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019) . 19
Competitive Landscape 19
Passenger Vehicles . 20
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019) 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 23
Economic Analysis .. 23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 26
Asia - Risk/Reward Index .. 26
Table: Asia Pacific Autos Risk/Reward Index . 28
Company Profile . 29
Company Monitor 29
1. The US Market .. 30
2. Focus On Quality . 30
3. Domestic Product Range . 30
4. Outperformance In Trouble Spots . 31
5. Emerging Market Presence . 31
Crown Motors .. 33
Mercedes-Benz Hong Kong .. 35
Sime Darby China .. 36
Regional Overview 38
Asia Overview .. 38
Table: Asia Production Investment September 2014-January 2015 39
Global Industry Overview .. 47
Table: Passenger Car Sales March (CBUs) 47
US Slowdown A Temporary Glitch? .. 47
Europe Recovery Will Be Steady 49
Asia Carries The BRIC States . 50
Demographic Forecast .. 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025) . . 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025) . . 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025) . . 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025) . . 55
Methodology . 57
Industry Forecasts . 57
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 58
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators . 60

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