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  5. > United Kingdom Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

United Kingdom Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Through to the end of our forecast period to 2020, we believe the UK will see steady productiongrowth in barley, poultry and cheese. There will be strong export opportunities for grains and sugar to theMiddle East and North Africa. In particular, the UK will be a leading sugar exporter among EU countriesafter the industry consolidates following the removal of production quotas in 2017. Simultaneously,however, we expect to see sugar consumption in the UK decreasing over our forecast period, starting in2018 at the time of the introduction of the proposed sugar tax.

Key Forecasts

- Sugar production growth to 2019/20 on the 2014/15 level: -4.7% to 9.05mn tonnes. We forecastoutput to recover from its sharp 2015/16 drop as the EU sugar industry consolidates following the quotaremoval in 2017. Modest growth in wheat production in line with our view that the EU will see subduedoutput growth amid slowly rising prices.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Agribusiness Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 13
Grains Outlook 13
Latest Updates 13
Table: United Kingdom - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 16
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 17
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 17
Livestock Outlook 18
Latest Updates 18
Table: United Kingdom - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Structural Trends 19
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 21
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 21
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 21
Sugar Outlook 22
Latest Updates 22
Table: United Kingdom - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 25
Dairy Outlook 26
Latest Updates 26
Table: United Kingdom - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 26
Table: Risks To Outlook 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 29
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 30
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2012-2020) 30
Featured Analysis 31
Brexit On Agriculture: Initial Thoughts 31
Commodity Price Analysis 36
Commodities Price Forecasts 36
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 36
Upstream Analysis 38
Europe Machinery Outlook 38
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 42
Europe GM Outlook 44
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 50
Downstream Analysis 57
Food 57
Latest Updates 57
Structural Trends 58
Table: Food Sales (United Kingdom 2013-2020) 59
Regional Overview 61
Europe Regional Overview 61
Competitive Landscape 66
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 66
Demographic Forecast 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73

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