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United Kingdom Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 121 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We favour the grain, livestock and dairy industries in the UK because of good export
opportunities and a strong domestic market. The UK will post strong growth in wheat production over the coming years, as we expect the grain to remain attractive in terms of prices relative to other crops. We believe that the dairy and sugar industries will increase production in the years following the ending of their respective production quotas.


Key Forecasts
- Wheat production growth to 2018/19: 36.7% to 16.3mn tonnes. We expect UK wheat production to grow at a strong pace, due to wheat price outperformance relative to other grains and ongoing demand from export destinations. In the short term, the UK will benefit from subdued exports from the Black Sea region.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Agribusiness Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT .. 10
Agribusiness ... 10
Operational Risk . 13
Industry Forecast .. 14
Livestock Outlook 14
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 15
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 15
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 15
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) 17
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 17
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 18
Grains Outlook ... 19
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 19
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 20
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 20
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 22
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 22
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 23
Sugar Outlook . 23
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2013-2019) 24
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2008-2013) 27
Rice Outlook ... 27
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2013-2019) . 28
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 31
Dairy Outlook . 31
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 32
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 33
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 33
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 36
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) . 36
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (United Kingdom 2009-2014) 37
Featured Analysis .. 38
European Agriculture: The Future Of The CAP . 38
Table: EU - Agricultural Self-Sufficiency Ratios . 46
Table: Select Commodities - European Production and Consumption ('000 tonnes) 50
Commodities Price Analysis . 51
Monthly Softs Strategy .. 51
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 60
Monthly Grains Strategy ... 61
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 68
Upstream Analysis 69
Europe GM Outlook . 69
Europe Machinery Outlook 75
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) . 77
Europe Fertiliser Outlook . 80
Downstream Analysis ... 86
Food . 86
Food Consumption . 86
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2012-2019) . 87
Canned/Prepared Food ... 87
Confectionery 88
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2012-2019) . 89
Snack Food ... 90
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 91
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 92
Pasta ... 92
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 92
Prepared Fish ... 93
Other Processed Foods ... 93
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 94
Oils And Fats 94
Dairy ... 94
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 95
Drink 97
Hot Drinks 97
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 98
Soft Drinks 99
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 100
Alcoholic Drinks .. 102
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) . 103
Mass Grocery Retail .. 105
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 106
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type (%) . 106
Regional Overview .. 107
Competitive Landscape .. 114
Table: Main Agribusiness Players . 114
Demographic Forecast ... 115
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) . 116
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) . 116
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) . 117
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 117
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) . 118
Methodology 120
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 120
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 121

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Related Market Segments :

Food
Sugar
Dairy Farming
Poultry
Crop Production

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