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  5. > Strategic Analysis of the Chinese Compressed Natural Gas and Liquefied Natural Gas Commercial Vehicle Market

By 2020, MD–HD Truck and Bus Sales Will Reach 246,000 Units

This research study presents an overview of the Chinese compressed natural gas and liquefied natural gas commercial vehicle market, with respect to the latest country developments influencing this industry. It discusses the recent trends of fuelling infrastructure and emission standard implementation. The detailed study discusses key challenges the market is facing and a SWOT analysis of the market. It also provides profiles of bus and truck OEMs as well as of suppliers.

Executive Summary—Key Findings
Natural gas (NG) technology to penetrate % of commercial vehicle industry by 2020, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) technology to penetrate % of heavy-duty (HD) truck segment

Total Natural Gas CV Market: Key Findings, China, 2013
1 The natural gas market for medium-duty (MD) and HD commercial vehicles is on an upward trend, with % growth rate in the HD truck segment in 2013. Growth is expected due to improved economy, infrastructure development, and government subsidies on NG commercial vehicles.
2 With a continuous increase in the number of NG filling stations, and improvement in powertrain technologies, NG technology penetration is expected to increase from% to % in the truck and bus segments by 2020.
3 LNG technology is expected to lead the Chinese NG truck segment, with 82% penetration in HD trucks and % penetration in MD trucks by 2020 due to safety, long-haul transit, and the increasing number of LNG filling stations.
4 Shaanxi Automobile and Yutong continue to dominate the Chinese NG commercial vehicle market; it gained % in NG truck segment share while Yutong accounted for % of the NG bus segment share, a trend that is expected to continue till 2020. Collaboration between Foton and Daimler AG in 2010 as well as the partnership between Dongfeng and AB Volvo in 2013 will probably stoke competitive rivalry in the NG truck industry in the forecast period.
5 With the largest reserve base of shale gas (billion m³), which accounts for % of global reserves, China is likely to develop its NG commercial vehicle market in the forecast period. Furthermore, the Chinese Government intends to develop more than key exploitation areas by 2020.

Table Of Contents

Strategic Analysis of the Chinese Compressed Natural Gas and Liquefied Natural Gas Commercial Vehicle Market
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
Executive Summary—Key Findings
Market Engineering Measurements
Total Market Unit Shipment Snapshot
20-Year Development of Chinese Natural Gas CVs
Vehicle/Technology Segmentation
Natural Gas MD and HD Commercial Vehicle Sales Structure
Comparative Analysis of OEMs
Strategic Fact Sheet
Key Findings and Future Outlook
SWOT Analysis

2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVE, BACKGROUND, AND METHODOLOGY

Research Scope, Objective, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Key Questions this Study Will Answer
Research Methodology

3. DEFINITIONS AND SEGMENTATION

Definitions and Segmentation
Commercial Vehicle Segmentation and Definitions
Technology Segmentation and Definitions

4. MARKET OVERVIEW

Market Overview
Key Industry Challenges of the Chinese NG Commercial Vehicles Market
Global LNG Prices and Major Natural Gas Import Countries
Shale Gas Reserves in China
Natural Gas Reserves in China
Regional Gas Station Overview in China
Comparison of Natural Gas Powertrain Fuels—CNG and LNG
Comparison of NG Engine Ignition Technologies—SI and CI Engines
Technology Mapping with Duty Cycle Requirements
Technology Road Map
Retail Natural Gas Price Overview
Chinese Natural Gas Engine Power Bandwidth

5. MEGA TRENDS AND INDUSTRY CONVERGENCE IMPLICATIONS

Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
Impact of Top Automotive Industry Mega Trends on the NG CV Market

6. DRIVERS AND RESTRAINTS—TOTAL NATURAL GAS CV MARKET

Drivers and Restraints—Total Natural Gas CV Market
Market Drivers
Drivers Explained
Market Restraints
Restraints Explained

7. FORECASTS AND TRENDS—TOTAL NATURAL GAS CV MARKET

Forecasts and Trends—Total Natural Gas CV Market
Market Engineering Measurements
Natural Gas CV Market—HD NG Truck Volume Scenario Analysis
Natural Gas CV Market— MD NG Truck Volume Scenario Analysis
Natural Gas CV Market—NG Bus Volume Scenario Analysis
Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2020
HD LNG/CNG Trucks Volume Forecast
MD LNG/CNG Trucks Volume Forecast
LNG/CNG Buses Volume Forecast
MD and HD CNG Trucks Technology Penetration Forecast
MD and HD LNG Trucks Technology Penetration Forecast
CNG Bus Technology Penetration Forecast
LNG Bus Technology Penetration Forecast

8. COMPONENT PRICING FORECASTS

Component Pricing Forecasts
Comparative Analysis of CNG and LNG Component Pricing
CNG and LNG Dual Fuel Component Pricing Forecast
CNG and LNG CI/SI Component Pricing Forecast

9. MARKET SHARE AND COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS—TOTAL NATURAL GAS CV MARKET

Market Share and Competitive Analysis—Total Natural Gas CV Market
Natural Gas CV Market—Key Participants
Key Vehicles and Engine Roadmap
Comparative Positioning of Key Natural Gas Truck and Bus OEMs
Competitive Analysis—MD and HD Natural Gas Truck OEM Market Share
Competitive Analysis—Natural Gas Bus OEM Segment Share

10. SALES FORECASTS BY KEY PARTICIPANTS

Sales Forecasts by Key Participants
Truck Sales Units in the MD and HD Market—Powertrain Mix
Bus Unit Sales in the MD and HD Market—Powertrain Mix

11. TRUCK OEM PROFILES

Truck OEM Profiles
China National Heavy Duty Truck (CNHTC)
Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle
FAW Jiefang
Foton Motor
Shaanxi Automobile

12. BUS OEM PROFILES

Bus OEM Profiles
Ankai Automobile (Anhui Ankai Automobile)
Golden Dragon
King Long Motor (Xiamen King Long)
King Long United
Yutong Bus (Zhengzhou Yutong Bus)

13. SUPPLIER PROFILES

Supplier Profiles
Cummins
Weichai Power
Yuchai Group
Natural Gas Commercial Vehicle Leading Transmission Suppliers

14. CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions—Natural Gas Truck Segment
Key Conclusions—Natural Gas Bus Segment
The Last Word—Three Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer

15. APPENDIX

Appendix
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
Market Engineering Methodology

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