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Colombia Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: PPPs will be the major driver for infrastructure construction growth over the coming years, asthe Colombian government has been widely successful in attracting private sector capital, especially intothe 4G Highway Concession Programme. Additional capital from international debt financing and newlycreating infrastructure funds are helping to diversify funding sources for infrastructure and will be criticalfor maintaining robust growth in light of low commodity prices.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-Colombia's construction industry will continue to outperform in the region, with the sector expected toreach 5.3% real growth in 2016 and average 5.7% annually over our five-year forecast (2016-2020).

-The successful implementation of the public-private partnership under the auspices of the AgenciaNacional de Infraestructura (ANI), will be the major driver of future growth, with the vast majority ofhigh-value projects set to move into the construction phase of development utilizing the model.

-Within this space, the USD25bn 4G Highway Concession Programme will be the largest benefactor ofinnovative financing and PPPs. Projects continue to move forward under wave three of the program, withthe USD648mn Pacifico 3 reaching financial close in March and Pacifico 2 reportedly close to doing so.

-International capital will play a crucial role, helping to complement the domestic banking industry andbolster financing availability. In Q116 Goldman Sachs joined the ranks of the major international lenderssupporting the 4G programme, with Brazil's Itau reportedly set to follow suit.

-The creation of new infrastructure funds will further diversify Colombia's financing sources, reducing therisks associated with the financing stage of the project cycle. This will be critical for maintaining the flowof funds given that the Colombian economy is facing numerous challenges - namely the low oil priceenvironment, a weak peso, and the ongoing peace process.

Table Of Contents

Colombia Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Colombia 2015-2021) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Colombia 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Colombia 2015-2025) 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 18
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Colombia 2015-2025) 19
Structural Trends 20
Table: 4G First Wave 22
Table: 4G Second Wave 23
Table: Key Projects: Transport 26
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 27
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Colombia 2015-2025) 27
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 32
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Colombia 2015-2025) 33
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 38
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 39
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 40
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 40
Latin America Industry Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 49
Market Overview 50
Competitive Landscape 50
Table: EQS Table 51
Company Profile 52
Conciviles 52
ConConcreto 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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