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Azerbaijan Telecommunications Report 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 41 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We have made some minor forecast adjustments in our 2016 update. The mobile market continued to post positive growth in 2015, albeit at a slower pace than in 2014. Bakcell became the second carrier to launch 4G services in Q215, followed by Azerfon in Q415. We are of the opinion that the offering of 4G LTE services in the country by all three operators will bode well for the market growth prospects over the course of our forecast period out to 2020. This could add further positive momentum to subscriber growth in the country and will accelerate 3G/4G uptake. To the downside, we are concerned about state intervention in the ICT sector, which could impede the growth of both the mobile and wireline sector. The government touts the importance of developing an information society and encouraging telecoms growth but in practice its actions tend to hinder market forces. The recent corruption scandal involving TeliaSonera and the country's political elite does not bode well for the future of the company as it expects to withdraw entirely from the region.


Latest Updates And Industry Developments:

- TeliaSonera, the Swedish telecoms giant, has stated that it would withdraw all operations from the region following corruption scandals in Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan. The operator has been fined over USD1.4bn by Dutch and American authorities for unfair business practice and payments in exchange for preferential treatment and operating licenses.

Table Of Contents

Azerbaijan Telecommunications Report 2016
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 7
Telecoms 7
Industry Forecast 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Azerbaijan 2013-2020) 13
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 14
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 14
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 16
Azerbaijan Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers And Trends 20
Mobile 20
Wireline Voice and Broadband 24
Regulatory Development 27
Industry Risks 27
Main Development: TeliaSonera To Exit Region On Corruption Charges 28
Additional Developments 28
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 31
Table: Key Population Ratios (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 31
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 32
Table: Population By Age Group (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 32
Table: Population By Age Group % (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 33
Glossary 35
Table: Glossary Of Terms 35
Methodology 37
Industry Forecast Methodology 37
Sources 39
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 39
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 40
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 41

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