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Country Economic Forecasts > Suriname

  • October 2014
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 4 pages

Suriname posted GDP growth of 4.4% in 2013.
Activity was driven by investment in a number of mining projects and increased government
spending on infrastructure and housing, but sluggish demand in North America
and the EU, its main trading partners, and in neighbouring countries were drags
on growth. We forecast growth of just under 4% this year, supported by higher
state spending on subsidies and public sector wages ahead of presidential
elections in May 2015. The mining sector - in particular oil, gold and bauxite - remains pivotal
for the whole economy, accounting for 90% of exports and over 30% of government
revenues. Planned
development of the Merian gold mine by Newmont Mining Corporation, involving
some US$1bn of investment, and another project could lead to a doubling of gold
output by end-2016 (and there are also hopes of offshore oil finds). However, commodity prices have been trending lower in the last few
years, dampening revenues and may
start to undermine the prospects
for investment. The outlook for both gold
and oil prices now appears quite subdued.

Table Of Contents

Country Economic Forecasts > Suriname
Surinameand#58;


The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

  1. Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
    main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
  2. Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
    data and 4 years of forecast data for the followingand#58;
    • Domestic demand
    • Private consumption
    • Fixed investment
    • Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
    • Government consumption
    • Exports of goods and services
    • Imports of goods and services
    • Unemployment
    • Consumer prices
    • Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
    • Government budget (% of GDP)
    • Short-term interest rates (%)
    • Long-term interest rates (%)
    • Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
    • Exchange rate (vs. euro)
  3. Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
    most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
    country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
  4. Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
    to the time period covered. These could include such topics asand#58;
    • Contributions to GDP growth
    • Monthly industrial output
    • Business and consumer confidence
    • Unemployment rate
    • Retail sales
    • Prices and earnings
    • Consumption and investment
    • Government balance and debt
    • GDP and industrial production
    • Monetary policy and bond yields
  5. Background Information on the country
    • One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
      that determine the country's current position
  6. Key Facts on the country
    • Map of the country
    • Key political facts
    • Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
    • Structure of GDP by output - latest year
    • Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
    • Corruption perceptions index- latest year
    • Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
    • Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
    • Composition of goods andamp; services exports - latest year

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