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"Mobile data traffic growth is developing in divergent ways, reflecting the differing strategic investment decisions taken by operators in different regions. This report analyses these trends, highlighting how operator strategy and regional differences shape present and future traffic levels."

Table Of Contents

The Wireless network traffic worldwide: forecasts and analysis 2014-2019
Table of contents
6.Executive summary
7.Our forecasts indicate that the CAGR of mobile data volume will be 42.5% worldwide for 2014-2019, and 47.1% for 2013-2018
8.Growth rates in mobile data traffic in most countries fell in 2013, but there were significant exceptions
9.What we have changed since our last analysis
10.Drivers and inhibitors
11.Mobile data traffic growth is still highly constrained by supply-side considerations
12.Demand-side complications can also limit the growth of mobile data traffic
13.Mobile data traffic growth is fundamentally constrained by the high cost of fixed-mobile substitution
14.The rate of mobile data traffic growth in the USA exceeded that of other developed markets
15.The slow down in the rate of growth in mobile data has been very marked in the most advanced Asia-Pacific economies
16.Volumes of mobile data traffic continue to grow at a relatively slow rate in Europe
17.What do the leading markets tell us?
18.New investment in fixed networks will slow mobile traffic growth in middle-income markets
19.China and India: a comparison of mobile data usage
20.Key forecast results
21.The number of active SIMs in personal devices will outstrip the world's population by 2016
22.Mobile data traffic growth will vary between regions and, in general, will be lower in developed markets
23.Smartphones will displace other devices as hubs for personal Wi-Fi
24.We forecast that growth in average mobile data usage on handsets will settle to 30% per year in developed markets
25.Tablets and other mid-screen devices will continue to be a small part of the mobile traffic mix
26.Tablets and smartphones will constitute nearly half of all fixed data traffic in developed economies by 2019
27.M2M and smart wearable SIMs will account for 2% of mobile data traffic by 2019, but most smart wearables will be tethered
28.By 2019, 13% of SIM-enabled devices will be 4G and these will generate 79% of mobile data traffic
29.The divergence between median and mean usage and the asymmetry of usage are both related to video consumption
30.By 2019, the volume of Wi-Fi traffic generated by handsets and tablets will be over seven times higher than mobile traffic
31.Public Wi-Fi is driven by different strategic aims, but its share of total traffic is usually quite modest
32.Market definition
33.Data sources and methodology
34.Definition of geographical regions [1]
35.Definition of geographical regions [2]
36.About the author and Analysys Mason
37.About the author
38.About Analysys Mason
39.Research from Analysys Mason
40.Consulting from Analysys Mason
List of figures
Figure 1: Summary of report coverage
Figure 2: Mobile data traffic, developed and emerging markets, 2012-2018 (2013 forecast) and 2012-2019 (2014 forecast)
Figure 3: Growth in mobile data traffic, by region, 2012-2013
Figure 4: Growth in mobile data traffic, by country, 2011, 2012 and 2013
Figure 5: Mobile network capacity growth, 2014-2019
Figure 6: Hours not spent working or travelling, average mobile data usage per capita, 2013
Figure 7: Mobile data traffic, USA, 2H 2009-2H 2012 and 2013
Figure 8: Annual rate of growth in mobile data traffic, selected developed markets, Asia-Pacific, 2H 2010-1H 2014
Figure 9: Mobile data usage per capita per month, selected developed markets, Asia-Pacific, 2H 2009-1H 2014
Figure 10: Annual rate of growth for mobile data traffic, selected countries, Europe, 1H 2010-1H 2014
Figure 11: Investment and fixed-mobile convergence
Figure 12: Average Internet usage and GDP per capita, by region and Romania, 2013
Figure 13: Mobile data usage per 3G/4G SIM per month, China and India, 2012 and 2013
Figure 14: Mobile and Wi-Fi metrics, China Mobile, 2012, 2013 and 1H 2014
Figure 15: Mobile connections, by type, worldwide, 2011-2019
Figure 16: Mobile connections (excluding M2M), by device generation, worldwide, 2011-2019
Figure 17: Mobile data traffic growth multiples, by region, 2013-2019
Figure 18: Mobile data traffic, by region, 2012-2019
Figure 19: Mobile data traffic growth multiples, by device type, 2013-2019
Figure 20: Mobile data traffic, by device type, worldwide, 2012-2019
Figure 21: Average mobile data usage per 3G/4G handset SIM, selected developed markets, 2013
Figure 22: Average mobile data usage per 3G/4G handset SIM by handset technology generation, developed markets, 2012-2019
Figure 23: Mid-screen devices' share of mobile data traffic, and mobile networks' share of mid-screen device traffic, developed markets, 2012-2019
Figure 24: Smartphone and mid-screen devices' share of fixed data traffic, developed markets, 2011-2019
Figure 25: Median data usage per smartphone by network type and smartphone screen size (n = 1588)
Figure 26: Mobile data traffic, by M2M and smart wearable SIMs, worldwide, 2014-2019
Figure 27: 4G devices' share of mobile data traffic, by region, 2011-2019
Figure 28: Mobile data traffic share by device and network generation, USA, 3Q 2013
Figure 29: Median 3G/4G handset usage as a proportion of mean usage, worldwide, 2011-2019
Figure 30: Mobile data traffic share by type of network connection, worldwide, 2011-2019
Figure 31: Wireless data traffic by device type, and proportion generated in a private location, worldwide, 2013-2019
Figure 32: Regional breakdown used in this report [1]
Figure 33: Regional breakdown used in this report [2]

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