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Zambia & Zimbawe Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

We have made some minor forecast corrections for the Q4 2016 update, but we have not changed our outlook for Zambia and Zimbabwe. In Zimbabwe, we expect mobile subscription growth to remain in positive territory throughout our forecast period, driven by increasing price competition and network expansion to previously underserved areas of the country. However, the incidence of multiple SIM ownership will increase as operators vie for market share with aggressive promotions. Additional competition would also have a positive impact on market growth. In Zambia, mobile subscriptions will grow positively out to 2020. Advanced mobile data services provide a useful opportunity for the operators to diversify their revenue streams away from traditional voice services. Both Zimbabwe and Zambia's mobile markets are set to benefit from tower-sharing arrangements which will enable operators to cut costs and to expand to underserved areas, which would consequently boost mobile growth.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- Zambia's mobile market grew by 8.4% in Q1 2016, continuing to show a strong recovery from the SIM registration process in introduced in 2013. This raised total subscriptions to 11.75mn for a penetration rate of 73.3%.

- Zimbabwe's mobile market grew by 8.8% y-o-y in Q1 2016 to reach 12.9mn subscriptions and a penetration rate of 80.8%.

Table Of Contents

Zambia and Zimbawe Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Zambia Telecoms 9
Zimbabwe Telecoms 10
Industry Forecast 12
Zambia - Increased Investment Supports Sustained Return To Growth 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Zambia 2013-2020) 15
Zimbabwe 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2013-2020) 20
Industry Risk Reward Index 21
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 25
Zimbabwe Risk/Reward Index 26
Zambia Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 29
Zambia 29
Market Drivers and Trends 29
Mobile 30
Wireline Voice and Broadband 34
Zimbabwe 37
Market Drivers and Trends 37
Mobile 38
Table: Telecel And NetOne Lag In Network Coverage, Dec 2014 42
Wireline Voice and Broadband 42
Table: Zimbabwe's Internet Subscriptions, Q114-Q415 44
Regulatory Development 46
Industry Risks 46
Main Development: Taxes In Zimbabwe 47
Additional Developments 48
Competitive Landscape 49
Table: Key Telecoms Services Providers 49
Zambia 49
Table: Zambia Mobile Market Overview 49
Table: MTN Zambia 50
Table: Airtel Zambia 51
Table: Zamtel Zambia 51
Zimbabwe 51
Table: Mobile Market Overview 51
Table: Econet 52
Table: Telecel 52
Table: NetOne 53
Company Profile 54
Econet Zimbabwe 54
Demographic Forecast 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025) 61
Glossary 63
Table: Glossary Of Terms 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

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