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Myanmar Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 56 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
The Myanmar power sector is set to expand substantially over the coming decade and will be one of the fastest growing markets in the region. We also expect the country's energy mix to change over the decade and this change will create numerous opportunities.
Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- We forecast electricity generation in Myanmar to grow by 12.1% in 2016, a significant pick-up from what we estimate to have been a 6.9% expansion in 2015. We believe growth in 2016 will continue to be primarily driven by hydropower and gas-fired generation, similar to 2015. Myanmar's power sector will be one of the fastest growing in Asia over the coming decade. We have retained our long-term bullish forecast on electricity generation, with growth set to average 8.0% per annum between 2016 and 2025. This is significantly higher than the regional average of about 5.2%.

- In June 2015, Japanese firm Marubeni Corporation announced it had entered into a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Myanmar's electric power ministry to conduct a feasibility study for a 400MW gas-fired power generation facility in Yangon Region, Myanmar. Marubeni will carry out the study in a consortium with Thai firm Global Power Synergy and Eden Group. The project is part of Myanmar's efforts to boost power generation capacity to meet rapidly growing demand. The facility is being developed by a team of Japanese and Myanmar-based firms, including Marubeni. The plant is estimated to cost about JPY40bn (USD325mn), reports NIKKEI Asian Review. Construction is expected to begin in 2016 and the facility is scheduled to be commissioned in 2019.

Table Of Contents

Myanmar Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Myanmar 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Myanmar Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Myanmar 2015-2020) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Myanmar 2020-2025) 11
Myanmar Power Forecast Scenario 12
Table: Cancelled Hydropower Projects in Myanmar 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2020-2025) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2020-2025) 20
Electricity Consumption 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2020-2025) 21
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 23
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 23
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2020-2025) 23
Industry Risk Reward Index 24
Asia Power Risk Reward Index 24
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100) 30
Myanmar Power Risk/Reward Index 31
Rewards 31
Risks 31
Market Overview 33
Key Policies And Market Structure 33
Regulation And Competition 33
Sustainable Energy Policies 34
Pricing 35
Myanmar Power Projects Database 36
Table: Myanmar - Largest Power Projects By Capacity 37
Competitive Landscape 42
APR Energy 43
ACO Investment Group 43
Regional Overview 44
Asia (Region) - Coal To Dominate, But Contribution To Slip 44
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast 48
Glossary 50
Table: Glossary Of Terms 50
Methodology 51
Methodology And Sources 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sources 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 55
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 56

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