Table of Contents
Is the End Close? Platforms and Systems Undertaking the Last Phases of the Fleet Renewal Trend
• The military helicopters market, which is analysed across new platform procurements and systems integration revenues, will be driven by main factors between 2013 and 2023:
o Emerging countries are renewing and significantly increasing their helicopter fleet capabilities. Hence, new platform procurements will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of % and will present a cumulative market size of $ billion globally.
o Increasing territorial disputes in Eastern Europe, Central Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East are stimulating market demand for upgraded attack and naval capabilities.
o Budget cuts and stretched fleets will impact the platform segment in the short and medium terms, mostly across North America, Europe, and Latin America. Nevertheless, bridging crucial capability gaps in the long term will revive market growth, unless urgent operational requirements take priority.
• Such parameters positively impact market demand for systems, which are expected to represent a total market size of $ billion.
o High threat perceptions are stimulating weapon systems market revenues, accounting for % of market revenues between 2013 and 2023, with specific demand to
increase electronic warfare and survivability suites.
o Mission systems are forecast to account for % of revenues. These will be driven by interoperability requirements with unmanned systems and advanced surveillance
systems with new sets of radars, either to detect subsea electromagnetic activities or to aid in ground observation.
o Operations in adverse conditions and complex geographical environments will also lead the demand for new improved avionics, with real-time communications beyond the line of sight in order to exchange data with troops on the ground and at sea. Enhanced visual systems are also at stake; as a result, the total market size for avionics could reach $ billion.
o Fleet management, operational constraints, and better scrutiny of lifecycle platform costs accelerate market demand for smarter vehicle systems such as predictive
maintenance and platforms’ health and usage monitoring management systems (HUMS). Hence, vehicle systems could represent a market size of at least $ billion.
• North America is forecast to remain the largest market for military helicopters with a total market size of $ billion for platform procurements and systems.
• Meanwhile, Asia-Pacific is expected to account for $ billion or % of the total market.
• Europe and Central Asia will also witness steady revenues, with respective market sizes of $ billion and $ billion.
Increasing territorial conflicts and asymmetric warfare will drive new military procurements despite budget constraints.
While North American and European markets will witness flat growth in the short and medium terms, significant capabilities will rise in the long term.
Platform modularity remains a key priority as budget holders are looking at rationalising their helicopter fleets. However, this drives up systems expenditures in order to keep high levels of mission efficiency.
Increased scrutiny over mission systems through lifecycle costs, resistance against attrition, and replacement rates boost demand for smarter vehicle systems.
Progressive integration of unmanned systems and optionally piloted vehicles to complement, not replace, helicopter intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) and utility roles.
Key Questions This Study Will Answer
Will upcoming opportunities offset market decline?
How long will new development programs be put on hold?
Where will the market demand be in 10 years?
Are there any capability gaps that need to be anticipated?
Is systems architecture commonality better than complexity?
How standardised can a multi-role platform be without compromising mission roles?
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