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Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

We have made some modest forecast revisions to the Bangladeshi agricultural sector in this update. Nevertheless, we maintain our cautious outlook towards the agricultural sector over the short term. The limited arable land available for acreage expansion, along with poor safety standards, will continue to weigh on production growth over our current forecast period out to 2020. Logistical problems and structural concerns plague the agricultural industry, particularly the transportation of food within the country. Looking ahead, we believe that there is significant room for growth and improvement in subsectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as the agricultural sector in Bangladesh employs close to 50% of the working population but contributes less than 20% of the country’s GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policy is also an interesting area to look at, as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GM food cultivation in Asia.


Key Forecasts


- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 1.38mn tonnes. The main driver behind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).

- Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 135,000 tonnes. Production will fail to return to the levels reached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops, such as cotton, we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.

- Poultry production growth to 2019/20: 244,000 tonnes. Better economic conditions and higher disposable incomes will help to drive demand for meat. Better disease control is also expected to support the recovery of the sector.

Table Of Contents

Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Rice Outlook 12
Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 13
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 16
Grains Outlook 17
Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 17
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2014-2020) 21
Sugar Outlook 22
Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 22
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 26
Livestock Outlook 27
Table: Bangladesh - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 27
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 27
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2010-2015) 30
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2014-2020) 31
Commodities Price Analysis 32
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 32
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 32
Upstream Analysis 34
Asia Machinery Outlook 34
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 39
Asia GM Outlook 41
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 45
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 46
Regional Overview 51
Competitive Landscape 58
Table: Bangladesh Competitive Landscape 58
Demographic Forecast 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65

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