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Myanmar Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
The Burmese upstream sector remains a high-risk, high-reward play, with a host of notable IOCs engaged in various exploration and production activities in the country's oil and gas blocks. A gradual rebound in oil prices over the coming years will help to increase firms' appetite for risks, and help move some of these projects forward. The country will be one of the bright spots in the Asia region in terms of refined fuels consumption growth across our 10 year forecast period, driven largely by economic growth, expansion of vehicle fleet and growing energy use in several fuel-intensive sectors. Myanmar's natural gas supplies will come under growing pressure from the need to meet both rising demand and export obligations to international partners, prompting the country to look towards LNG to complement local supplies.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts


- Despite low oil prices, Myanmar's exploration profile remains favourable, with nine production sharing contracts (PSCs) signed with international oil companies (IOCs) in 2015 alone and a further 11 3D seismic survey campaigns sanctioned in end-2015.

- Myanmar exports about 80.0% of its gas production as the previous junta government over-contracted its gas to overseas buyers. The country's net gas exports will remain on a structural downtrend, as the need to set aside gas for exports, in light of rising demand, increase the risk of a gas shortfall in Myanmar. This will require the country to resort to LNG imports to meet export obligations and offset rising domestic demand.

Table Of Contents

Myanmar Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: PSCs Signed In 2015 13
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Myanmar 2014-2019) 14
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Myanmar 2020-2025) 14
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Myanmar - Key Upstream Projects 15
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Oil Production (Myanmar 2014-2019) 19
Table: Oil Production (Myanmar 2020-2025) 19
Upstream Production - Gas 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Gas Production (Myanmar 2014-2019) 22
Table: Gas Production (Myanmar 2020-2025) 22
Refining 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Myanmar 2014-2019) 24
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Myanmar 2020-2025) 24
Refined Fuels Consumption 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Myanmar 2014-2019) 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Myanmar 2020-2025) 27
Gas Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Myanmar 2014-2019) 30
Table: Gas Consumption (Myanmar 2020-2025) 30
Trade - Oil 31
Crude Oil: Latest Updates 31
Crude Oil: Structural Trends 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019) 32
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025) 33
Fuels Trade: Latest Updates 33
Fuels Trade: Structural Trends 33
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019) 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025) 35
Trade - (Pipeline And LNG) 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019) 38
Table: Gas Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025) 38
Industry Risk/Reward Index 40
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Myanmar - Risk/Reward Index 47
Upstream Index - Rewards 47
Upstream Index - Risks 47
Downstream Index 48
Market Overview 49
Myanmar Energy Market Overview 49
Regulatory Structure 49
Fiscal Regime 50
Table: Myanmar - Upstream Tax Regime 50
Licensing Regime 50
Table: Myanmar - Contracts and Licensing Regime (Onshore) 51
Table: Onshore PSC Production Split 51
Table: Onshore PSC Production Bonus 52
Table: Myanmar - Contracts And Licensing Regime (Offshore) 53
Table: Offshore PSC Production Split 53
Table: Offshore PSC Production Bonus 54
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 55
Table: Oil Refineries 55
Oil Storage 55
Pipelines 56
LNG Terminals 56
Regional Overview 58
Asia - Oil Outlook Subdued On Persistent Price Weakness 58
Glossary 66
Table: Glossary Of Terms 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Source 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 72
Table: Weighting 73

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