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Iraq Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The dire security situation and virtually non-existent public spending will deter investment inIraq's construction sector in the near term. On a positive note, FDI is being promised for the future,especially in its hydrocarbons industry and gas pipeline infrastructure. Meanwhile, the project pipelineremains swollen with large residential developments, but the investment and operating environment make itexceptionally challenging to conduct business.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Security and macroeconomic headwinds facing the industry are still firmly in play. Our short-term viewremains unchanged with growth in 2016 forecast of 3.3% after several years of contraction.

- Long-term growth of a forecast 4.7% annually to 2025 is far below the country's potential, given the needfor major reconstruction after years of war. In January 2016 Baghdad cancelled projects worth IQD10tn(USD9bn) and postponed another 2,169 projects worth IQD37tn that had been approved in the 2015budget as the government faces a severe fiscal crisis brought about by a drastic fall in its oil revenues.

- The Iraqi government also announced in January it would not approve projects in 2016.- Nevertheless, our core view is for oil prices to rise from H216, with Iraq making gains against IslamicState forces and the economy to begin slowly improving, which could set in motion a return ofinvestment and activity in the construction sector from 2017.

Table Of Contents

Iraq Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Iraq 2015-2021) 7
Risk/Reward Index 8
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Iraq) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iraq 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Iraq's Long-Term Scenarios 17
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 22
Industry Forecast Scenario 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Major Projects - Transport 30
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 31
Industry Forecast Scenario 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Iraq Electricity Consumption 2013 33
Table: Top Five Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 39
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 40
Industry Forecast Scenario 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends 40
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 47
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 48
Iraq - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 48
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks 50
Table: MENA RRI 56
Market Overview 57
Competitive Landscape 57
Table: Key Company Financial Data 57
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Sector-Specific Methodology 67
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68

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