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Canada Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Canadian construction industry will recover in 2016 as the Liberal government spends bigon infrastructure projects in a bid to stimulate the economy. However, we note downside risk to thisforecast as the 2016 budget announced in March fell short of campaign promises.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-We expect a recovery in the Canada construction industry in 2016, driven primarily by heightened publicinvestment in infrastructure.

-However, on the back of the release of the 2016 Budget, which falls short of campaign promises ontangible new infrastructure spending, we reduced our 2016 growth forecast. We also highlight thelikelihood of further reductions to lofty goals, which will place downside risk to our strong outlook forthe sector.

-Following an estimated contraction of 3.2% for 2015, the construction industry will bounce back and post2.5% real growth in 2016 and average 2.1% annually over the four-year term of the Liberal governmentfrom 2016 to 2019. However, this is a reduction of our previous levels of 2.7% and 3.0% respectively.

-Transport infrastructure - primarily rail - renewable energy and especially water infrastructure willoutperform over the next four years as the liberals aim to stimulate the economy and incentivise 'greeninfrastructure'.

-We also expect non-residential construction to benefit from increasing investment in a recoveringmanufacturing sector, which will now benefit from a weakened Canadian dollar.• Infrastructure and non-residential will now be the major growth drivers for the construction industry overthe next four years, offsetting a continued decline in capital expenditure in the extractive sector and aslowdown in homebuilding.

Table Of Contents

Canada Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Canada 2015-2021) 7
Table: Canada Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Canada - Construction: Government Will Spend Big To Rally Industry - Q2 2016 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Canada 2015-2025) 12
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Canada 2015-2025) 17
Structural Trends 18
Major Projects Table - Transport 22
Table: Key Transport Projects 22
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 23
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Canada 2015-2025) 23
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 27
Residential and Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 28
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Canada 2015-2025) 28
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 33
Canada - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 33
Rewards 33
Risks 33
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Outperforming On Risks And Rewards 34
Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 40
Market Overview 41
Competitive Landscape 41
Table: Key Company Data 43
Company Profile 44
SNC-Lavalin 44
Table: SNC-Lavalin Financial Data 49
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sector-Specific Methodology 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

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