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Philippines Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook for Philippines' construction sector remains positive, but the presidential electionwill weight on construction activity, which has led us to downgrade our forecast for the construction sectorin 2016 - with growth now expected to be 7.5%.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-Our outlook for Philippines' construction industry remains positive and we forecast real growth of 7.5%and 8.9% in 2016 and 2017 respectively. The presidential election poses downside risks to our outlook asit will result in project delays and could lead to a review or even cancellation of planned and ongoingdevelopment projects. The victory of Mar Roxas, Grace Poe and Miriam Defensor-Santiago would mostlikely bring continuity in terms of PPP projects, whereas that of Jejomar Binay and Rodrigo Dutertewould bring change.

-The approval by the House of Representatives of the Bill 6331, known as the PPP Act, which willinstitutionalise and strengthen the PPPs, bodes well for the long-term growth of the construction sector byproviding greater investor protection and incentives.

-The bid submission deadline for five regional airport projects and the Davao seaport project wasrescheduled from March 28 to an unspecified date. The postponements pose downside risks to theseprojects as it is not clear whether they will remain a priority for the new administration.

-We expect water infrastructure will outperform in 2016 and 2017, with the Philippines-based MayniladWater Services' allocation of more than USD120mn to expand its wastewater treatment capacity andsewerage coverage in the country in 2016, illustrating the trend.

-We believe the residential sector construction will be supported by strong structural growth fundamentalsfor housing a large and young growing population and rising middle income class, while continuousexpansion of the tourism industry, coupled with efforts by the government to reinvigorate its gaming andleisure industry, will support the non-residential sector.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Philippines - Construction Industry Forecast (2015-2020) 7
Table: Philippines Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Philippines - Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Philippines 2015-2025) 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Competitiveness Of Philippines's Infrastructure 17
Table: Transport Projects 26
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 27
Latest Updates 27
Table: Cross-Island Interconnections 35
Table: Top Five Energy and Utilities Projects By Value 38
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 39
Latest Updates 39
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Philippines 2015-2020) 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Top Five Construction And Social Infrastructure Projects By Value 44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 45
Philippines - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 45
Rewards 45
Risks 45
APAC Infrastructure RRI: Affirming A Benign 2016 Outlook 47
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 53
Market Overview 54
Competitive Landscape 54
Table: EQS Data 54
Company Profile 59
EEI Corporation 59
First Balfour 62
San Miguel Corporation (SMC) 64
Methodology 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Sector-Specific Methodology 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology 76
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 77

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