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Kazakhstan - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd
  • -
  • 38 pages

In Kazakhstan the mobile market reaches saturation point
Although there had been a correction' in the number of mobile subscribers in Kazakhstan in 2013, the overall picture of the telecom market remains one of positive developments.
Penetration rates have actually declined in the past year or two due to market consolidation. Market penetration was around 158% in 2015.

Internet user penetration has reached over 50% and mobile broadband market penetration by late 2015 was over 60%
The country's healthy telecom market has come about on the back of a growing economy (despite the occasional setback) and a program of positive regulatory reform within the telecom sector.

The rapid and successful development of telecommunications in the country encouraged a number of foreign companies both service providers and suppliers - to establish a presence in this emerging market. Since 1992, international operators and manufacturers have been active in Kazakhstan in providing services and installing state-of-the-art equipment, especially as part of the country's international telecom network.

Companies such as Motorola, Lucent, Siemens, Alcatel, Nokia, Daewoo and Nortel Networks have all been active in the market. Recognising the long-term potential of this market, many foreign telecom companies have been looking to invest and form partnerships with local telecom enterprises.

Four private operators had been licensed to provide international and long-distance services in competition with the incumbent Kazakhtelecom. They were state-railway subsidiary TransTelecom, KazTransCom (a subsidiary of the national oil company), Ducat and Astel.

Kazakhstan has a relatively energetic fixed-line market with six operators providing fixed-line telephone services. Of special note has been the healthy growth in internet activity in Kazakhstan, with the move to broadband access in particular taking place at a rapid rate. Fixed broadband subscribers as a proportion of the population had reached an encouraging level, with the market expected to continue its current expansion.

By the same stage, however, fixed broadband was being completely overshadowed by the rapid mobile broadband expansion.

Despite the positive messages from the market, there remained some uncertainty around the industry. This was typified by the failure of the government to convince the WTO that it was ready for membership. The WTO continued to express serious concerns about the absence of input and progress in a number of critical areas.

In early 2015 the government was in the process of pushing through legislation to pave the way for number portability later in 2015.

Note: It was difficult to obtain a full statistical picture of the internet market in Kazakhstan, with indicators often not being available or information conflicting.


Key developments:
After a decade of particularly strong expansion in Kazakhstan's mobile market, there has been a marked flattening' in the growth.
Penetration rates have actually declined in the past year or two due to market consolidation. Market penetration was around 158% in 2015.
Internet user penetration has reached over 50%.
Mobile broadband market penetration by late 2015 was over 60%
Altel has started a rollout of its LTE 4G network;
Kcell launched LTE 4G mobile services in a further three markets
Kar-tel's FTTB network now passes 1.2 million premises in 25 cities.
Kar-Tel has launched a public Wi-Fi network on 100 public transport buses in Astana city.

Table Of Contents

Kazakhstan - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts
1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
2.1 Country overview
2.1.1 Background and Economy
3. Telecommunications market
3.1 Overview of Kazakhstan's telecom market
4. Regulatory environment
4.1 Regulatory authority
4.2 Market liberalisation
4.3 Privatisation
4.4 Number Portability
5. Fixed-network operators in Kazakhstan
5.1 Kazakhtelecom
5.1.1 Kazakhtelecom's interests in the mobile market
5.1.2 Fibre Optic Network
5.2 Astel
5.3 Ducat (formerly Kazintel)
5.4 KazInformTelecom (KIT)
6. Telecommunications infrastructure
6.1 National
6.1.1 Overview
6.1.2 Forecasts fixed-line market 2015; 2020
6.1.3 IP-based services
6.1.4 Next Generation Network (NGN) development
6.1.5 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
6.2 International infrastructure
6.2.1 Trans Asia-Europe (TAE)
6.2.2 Satellite networks
6.2.3 KazSat satellite series
7. Internet market
7.1 Overview
7.1.1 Internet and broadband statistics
7.1.2 Forecasts internet services 2015; 2020
7.1.3 E-commerce
7.1.4 E-government
7.1.5 Kazakh Network Information Centre (KazNIC)
7.1.6 Ashyk Alem Project
7.2 Broadband services
7.2.1 General
7.2.2 Broadband statistics
7.2.3 WiMAX
7.2.4 FttB
7.3 ISP market
7.3.1 Kazakhstan Online
7.3.2 Nursat
7.4 Internet Protocol TV (IPTV)
8. Mobile communications
8.1 Overview of Kazakhstan's mobile market
8.1.1 Mobile statistics
8.1.2 Forecasts mobile market 2015; 2020
8.2 Mobile technologies
8.2.1 Third Generation (3G)
8.2.2 Fourth Generation (4G) / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
8.3 Major mobile operators
8.3.1 Altel
8.3.2 K'Cell (GSM-Kazakhstan)
8.3.3 Kar-Tel (Beeline)
8.3.4 Tele 2 Kazakhstan (formerly NeoTelecom)
9. Notes on forecasting
10. Related reports
Table 1 Country statistics Kazakhstan 2015
Table 2 Telephone network statistics 2015
Table 3 Internet user statistics 2015
Table 4 Mobile statistics 2015
Table 5 National telecommunications authorities
Table 6 Kazakhstan's GDP real growth rate 2006 - 2015
Table 7 Fixed lines in service and teledensity 1995 2015
Table 8 Historial - Fixed-line subscribers in urban areas 2009 2013
Table 9 Forecast fixed line subscribers and penetration rates 2015; 2020
Table 10 Internet users 1996 - 2015
Table 11 Fixed internet subscribers 1996 - 2015
Table 12 Fixed broadband subscribers 2003 - 2015
Table 13 DSL subscribers 2007 - 2014
Table 14 Cable modem subscribers 2007; 2010 - 2014
Table 15 FttP subscribers 2012 - 2014
Table 16 Active mobile broadband subscribers 2010 - 2015
Table 17 Internet bandwidth capacity 2001 - 2015
Table 18 Forecast internet subscribers and penetration rates 2015; 2020
Table 19 Kazakhtelecom's IPTV subscribers 2010 - 2014
Table 20 Mobile subscribers and annual change 1996 - 2015
Table 21 Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change (historical) June 2013
Table 22 Mobile operators market share (historical) June 2013
Table 23 Mobile operators market share (historical) 2013
Table 24 Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates 2015; 2020
Table 25 Altel's mobile subscribers 2009 - 2013
Table 26 Altel's mobile broadband subscribers 2010 - 2014
Table 27 Altel 4G / LTE subscribers 2012 - 2014
Table 28 Altel's mobile ARPU 2010 - 2014
Table 29 K'Cell's mobile subscribers 2006 - 2013
Table 30 K'Cell's mobile subscribers postpaid v. prepaid - 2012 2014
Table 31 Kar-Tel (Beeline) - mobile subscribers 2006 - 2015
Table 32 Kar-Tel (Beeline) - mobile ARPU 2006 - 2014
Table 33 Kar-Tel (Beeline) fixed broadband subscribers 2008 - 2013
Table 34 Kar-Tel (Beeline) fixed broadband ARPU 2006 - 2014
Table 35 Tele2 Kazakhstan's mobile subscribers 2010 - 2015
Chart 1 - Fixed lines in service and annual change - 2000-2015
Chart 2 - Internet users - 2005-2015
Chart 3 - Internet Subscribers - 2005-2015
Chart 4 - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration - 2000-2015
Exhibit 1 Kazakhtelecom's modernisation program for telecommunications 2004 - 2007

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