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Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 110 pages

BMI View

: While a string of recent exploration successes boosted Pakistan's oil and gas in the past fewyears, we forecast the country's reserves to continue declining over the next decade due to excessive useand lack of new significant discoveries. Nonetheless, recent discoveries and greater private sectorinvolvement in the upstream sector pose an upside risk to our forecast and could stimulate much neededinvestment, thus helping the country temper or reverse the negative trend.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts:

- Rostec's plan to build a USD2.5bn gas pipeline in Pakistan from Lahore to Karachi will improvedomestic pipeline connectivity, which supports our forecasts for domestic gas demand to grow steadilyover the next 10 years.

- On September 1 2015, the Pakistani government increased the price of natural gas for domesticcustomers and industry. We believe that higher domestic gas prices in Pakistan will invite greaterinternational investment in its E&P sector and pose an upside risk to the country's long-term gasproduction growth and minimise the cost burden of LNG imports on the government.

- Completion of the Baluchistan Oil Refinery has boosted Pakistan's refining capacity to 402,000b/d in2015.

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 16
Table: Pakistan Major Upstream Projects 16
Upstream Production - Oil 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2013-2018) 21
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2019-2024) 22
Upstream Production - Gas 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2013-2018) 24
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2019-2024) 24
Refining 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2013-2018) 27
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2019-2024) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Pakistan 2013-2018) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Pakistan 2019-2024) 30
Gas Consumption 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2013-2018) 33
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2019-2024) 34
Trade - Oil 35
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2019) 36
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024) 37
Fuels Trade Forecast 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018) 38
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024) 39
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends 40
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018) 44
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024) 45
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 46
Industry Risk Reward Index 46
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 50
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index 53
Market Overview 55
Pakistan Energy Market Overview 55
Regulatory Structure 55
Fiscal Regime 56
Table: Pakistan - Upstream Tax Regime 56
Licensing Regime 56
Table: Pakistan - Contracts and Licensing Regime 56
Licensing Rounds 56
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 57
Oil Refineries 57
Table: Refineries In Pakistan 57
Oil Storage Facilities 58
Oil Terminals/Ports 58
Oil Pipelines 58
LNG Terminals 58
Competitive Landscape 63
Competitive Landscape Summary 63
Table: Key Players - Pakistan Oil and Gas Sector 64
Company Profile 65
Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDCL) 65
Pakistan Petroleum (PPL) 69
Pakistan State Oil (PSO) 74
Pakistan Oilfields 78
Shell Pakistan 81
Other Summaries 84
Regional Overview 92
Asia - Weak Oil Prices Will Hit Region's Long-Term OandG Production 92
Glossary 103
Table: Glossary Of Terms 103
Methodology 105
Industry Forecast Methodology 105
Source 107
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 107
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 109
Table: Weighting 110

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