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The Western Europe telecoms market: interim forecast update 2015–2020

  • 22 pages, published in January 2016
  • By Analysys Mason
  • Report Number: 2571507

Summary

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"We have revised the forecast expectations for Western Europe up, based on positive revenue trends in the majority of the region in 1H 2015. However, in most countries. this continues to refer to a slower decline, rather than growth."

We have revised our expectations for fixed broadband revenue in Western Europe (WE) up because ARPU trends across the region in 1H 2015 have shown that consumer spending on broadband is increasing. After an optimistic 1H 2015, we also expect a more positive trend in all aspects of mobile revenue.

This report and accompanying data annex provide:
an interim update of our 5-year forecast (previously published in August 2015) of more than 100 mobile and fixed KPIs for WE as a whole and for 16 key countries
an explanation of the significant changes in this edition, compared with our previous forecasts.
Revisions to our previous forecasts occurred mainly for the following reasons:
market developments – based on recent market events and latest reported operator and regulator data (2Q 2015)
changes to the competitive and regulatory environment
changes to the macroeconomic outlook and exchange rates used to derive revenue in constant EUR
changes to historical data because of newly available information.

COVERAGE

Geographical coverage


Major KPIs

Region modelled
Western Europe (WE)
Countries modelled individually in the data annex
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
UK

Connections
Mobile
Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
Prepaid, contract
2G, 3G, 4G
Smartphone,
non-smartphone
Fixed
Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
Narrowband voice, VoBB
DSL, FTTH/B, cable
Fixed and mobile voice traffic
Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue
Mobile
Service, retail
Prepaid, contract
Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
Handset voice, messaging, data
Fixed
Service, retail
Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
DSL, FTTH/B, cable
Mobile ARPU
SIMs, handset
Prepaid, contract
Handset voice

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