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Azerbaijan Petrochemicals Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

The delay in starting the SOCAR Polimer polypropylene and polyethylene plants from H216 to 2018 highlights the problems with project delays in Azerbaijan. SOCAR has also delayed its Oil and Gas Processing and Petrochemical Complex. The country is struggling to develop downstream industries that add value to its considerable energy resources.

The manat's depreciation, a collapse in oil prices and high costs of external financing due to Azerbaijan's junk credit rating have combined to undermine these plans. The country has been burdened with ageing plants, and its downstream is vastly underperforming. Utilisation rates for the country's refineries have averaged around 30%. SOCAR has ambitions to significantly improve utilisation, refining increased volumes of Azeri crude domestically. However, a key problem has been the lack of demand. More than half of Azerbaijan's refined fuels are consumed internally and domestic consumption growth has been slow. Export markets also remain limited, due to the low quality of Azeri fuels.

- Azerbaijan is aiming to raise its fertiliser exports to 1mn tonnes per annum (tpa). A fertiliser project is planned in Karadagh with capacities of 255,000tpa ammonia and 500,000tpa urea. Construction was due for completion by end-2016. However, a dearth of progress reports in recent quarters has prompted us to remove the projects from our forecasts.

Table Of Contents

Azerbaijan Petrochemicals Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 8
Table: Azerbaijan Petrochemical Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2013-2021 9
Macroeconomic Forecasts 11
Economic Growth Outlook 11
Industry Risk/Reward Index 14
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 14
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 20
Azerbaijan Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 22
Industry Trends And Developments 24
Company Profile 28
State Oil Company Of Azerbaijan (SOCAR) 28
Regional Overview 31
Europe Overview 31
Global Industry Overview 40
Demographic Forecast 49
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 50
Table: Key Population Ratios (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 50
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group % (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 52
Glossary 54
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 54
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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