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Turkmenistan - Telecoms, Mobile and Internet

  • January 2015
  • -
  • Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd
  • -
  • 24 pages

Despite its mobile penetration Turkmenistan's telecom sector remains deeply underdeveloped
Turkmenistan's telecommunications market in this poor and predominantly rural country is relatively small but has been trying boldly to expand in recent years. Its telecom services were considered to be the least developed of all the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries when they took shape. Since then, poor growth in telecom services can be attributed to a large extent to the slow development of the private sector and state control over most economic activities. Efforts to move towards a more market-oriented economy have been limited. In the telecom sector there has been some progress, but this limited progress has in turn been overwhelmed by significant setbacks.

The state-owned Turkmen Telecom has been the primary provider of public telephone, email and internet services, and through a subsidiary, TM-Cell, it has been operating a GSM mobile network in competition with a private mobile operator, MTS Turkmenistan, since 2005 a subsidiary of the Russian-based MTS. Not surprisingly it has been the mobile services that have been dominating the expansion activity. In 2008 the country saw annual subscription growth in excess of 140%, although growth slowed significantly to about 33% in 2009. As a result, in a busy two-year period Turkmenistan, one of the smallest telecom markets in the Central Asia region, saw its mobile penetration jump from 8% to 30%.

Mobile penetration had reached 63% (3.2 million subscribers) by end-2010, when the market was suddenly thrown into turmoil. The government suspended MTS' mobile licence and then decided not to renew the operator's mobile concession. MTS had been by far the dominant mobile operator up to that stage with around 80% of the mobile subscriber base. It had also rolled out a substantial network, covering around 85% of Turkmenistan's territory. The resolution of the dispute dragged on well into 2012 when the issues between the government and the operator were finally sorted out and MTS was able to re-launch its service in September of that year. In the meantime, over the period of suspension the government-owned TM Cell was the sole provider of mobile services in the country. Although there was uncertainty around the numbers, mobile penetration was reported at 82% (4.3 million subscribers) coming into 2014.

Growth of the internet sector in Turkmenistan had been seriously stifled back in 2000 when the four existing independent ISPs were forced out of business due to the government's decision to grant Turkmen Telecom a monopoly over data services. The abrupt closure of the ISPs was consistent with government policy, which required tight control over all communications in the country. Internet access continued to be severely restricted, and the few internet cafes that existed in Ashgabat were closed down in 2002.

After two decades of repression, the incoming president, Gurbanguli Berdymukhamedov, announced in 2007 that the government had re-opened internet cafes in the capital Ashgabat and was set to follow this move in regional centres. One hour of computer time cost about US$4, however, a high price in a country where two-thirds of the population live below the poverty line and the average monthly income was less than US$100. It was not immediately clear how far these reforms would go. By 2010 it was evident that the new president was keeping his promise about keeping the internet cafes open. There were still considerable restrictions on the use of internet, however. In fact, in 2012 Reporters Without Borders (RSF) included Turkmenistan as one of 12 countries in the world classified as Enemies of the Internet.' This was still the case in 2014.

Market highlights:

The Turkmenistan telecom market has been dominated by the suspension and eventual reinstatement of MTS Turkmenistan's mobile licence; MTS was effectively not operational from December 2010 to September 2012.
A major outcome was that state-owned mobile operator TM Cell, as the sole remaining mobile operator in the market place, was struggling to cope with the demand for service, after an estimated 2.5 million MTS subscribers were suddenly left without a service provider.
Through 2011 and 2012 it was not clear how many working subscribers were being served by TM Cell;
Prior to the suspension of MTS' concession at the end of 2010 mobile subscriber numbers in Turkmenistan were increasing strongly from a relatively low base, having just passed the 3.2 million mark, representing a penetration of 63%.

By end-2013, around 15 months after MTS relaunched, reports suggested the market was recovering quickly with around 4.3 million mobile subscribers by that stage.
The government's suspension and generally poor handling of the dispute was seen as a serious indictment of its regulatory regime.
Fixed-line penetration in Turkmenistan had been struggling to break through the 10% penetration barrier; it finally did so in 2010 and had reached close to 12% by 2014;
Internet growth in the country had been hindered by severe government controls until 2007 when there was an apparent easing of restrictions; this has not, however, seen the expected lift in Turkmenistan's internet usage; strict controls remain in place.
There were early signs of broadband internet access being made available in the country; but an estimated broadband penetration of less than 0.04% in 2014 made for a pessimistic outlook;
Turkmenistan announced plans to launch its first communication satellite into orbit.

Turkmenistan key telecom parameters 2012 - 2014
Category | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 (e)
Fixed-line services: | | |
Total number of subscribers | 575,000 | 602,000 | 630,000
Fixed-line penetration | 11% | 12% | 13%
Mobile services: | | |
Total number of subscribers | 5.9 million | 6.1 million | 6.3 million
Mobile penetration | 114% | 117% | 120%

This report provides an overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications markets in Turkmenistan. Subjects covered include:
Key statistics;
Market and industry overviews;
Major operators (mobile and fixed);
Regulatory environment;
Mobile market;
Internet market.

Table Of Contents

Turkmenistan - Telecoms, Mobile and Internet
1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
2.1 Country overview
2.1.1 Background
2.1.2 Economy
3. Telecommunications market
3.1 Overview of Turkmenistan's telecom market
3.2 Suspension and relaunch of MTS
4. Regulatory environment
4.1 Ministry of Information and Communications (MIC)
5. Telecommunications infrastructure
5.1 National and international
5.1.1 Overview
5.1.2 Fibre optic networks
5.1.3 Satellite
6. Internet market
6.1 Overview
6.2 Censorship and control
6.3 Internet statistics
6.4 Broadband
7. Mobile communications
7.1 Overview of Turkmenistan's mobile market
7.1.1 Mobile statistics
7.1.2 ARPU
7.1.3 Third Generation (3G) services
7.2 Major mobile operators
7.2.1 MTS-Turkmenistan (formerly Barash Communications Technologies (BCT))
7.2.2 TM Cell (Altyn Asyr)
8. Related reports
Table 1 Country statistics Turkmenistan 2014
Table 2 Telephone network statistics 2013
Table 3 Internet user statistics 2013
Table 4 Mobile statistics 2013
Table 5 National telecommunications authority
Table 6 Turkmenistan's GDP real growth rate 2003 - 2014
Table 7 Fixed lines in service and teledensity 1991 2014
Table 8 Internet users 1999 - 2014
Table 9 Estimated fixed internet subscribers 2005 - 2014
Table 10 International internet bandwidth capacity and per user 2002 - 2014
Table 11 Fixed broadband subscribers 2008 - 2014
Table 12 Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 1997 - 2014
Table 13 Historical - mobile subscribers and penetration rate 2011 - 2012
Table 14 Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change 2010
Table 15 Mobile operators, subscribers and market share 2010
Table 16 Mobile operators, subscribers and market share 2012
Table 17 Mobile operators, subscribers and market share 2013
Table 18 MTS mobile subscribers 2005; 2007 2010; 2014
Table 19 MTS mobile ARPU 2004 - 2005; 2008 - 2014
Table 20 TM Cell mobile subscribers 2009 - 2013
Chart 1 - Fixed lines in service and annual change 2000-2014
Chart 2 - Internet users - 2000-2014
Chart 3 - Mobile subscribers and annual change 2006-2014

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