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Global Launch Systems and Satellites : Demand for Space Capabilities Will Increase as Competition Drives Prices Down

  • December 2014
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 145 pages

Summary

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

•In 2013, there were x space launches, generating an estimated $ x billion in revenues.
•The market revenue of space launch systems and satellites is expected to experience a x % compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2013 through 2025. This represents a relatively flat growth rate when considering the effects of inflation.
•The total space launch systems and satellite market is forecast to be worth $ x billion between 2014 and 2025.
•The space launch market alone should experience a x % CAGR. The number of launches will increase but a more competitive market will drive launch costs down.
•The space launch market is forecast to be worth $ x billion from 2014 to 2025.
•The top 3 space launch countries, Russia, France/EU, and the United States, generated x % of space launch systems market revenue in 2013. This is a slight increase from the x % value from 2011.
•The top 3 space launch companies, United Launch Alliance (ULA), International Launch Services (ILS), and Arainespace, generated x % of space launch systems market revenue in 2013.
•The satellites market is expected to have a x % CAGR from 2013 to 2025. The satellites market should generate an estimated $ x billion over the forecast period.
•The top x satellites market companies accounted for x % of the total satellites market.
•The entire commercial launch market is continuing a transition from the oligopoly of ULA, Arianespace, and ILS to a more competitive market with smaller companies like SpaceX and Orbital Sciences Corp., offering lower cost launch options.
•The market for launching small payloads into low earth orbit (LEO) will be the most competitive because developing air-to-orbit launch platforms and small, efficient rockets is far less expensive than developing larger launch vehicles for placing satellites into geosynchronous orbit (GSO).
•Although many countries are increasing their spending for space activities, it will not be enough to make up for the cuts in spending that are expected in the United States and Europe.
•Global space spending will be relatively flat through 2025, but the number of launches and the number of satellites placed in orbit will increase. This is due to the fact that increased competition and innovations such as 3-D printing, all-electric satellites, and satellites designed for dual manifesting will drive overall costs down.

CEO’s Perspective

The overall space market is poised to grow steadily, but growth will be subdued because the transition to a more competitive commercialized market will drive prices down.
Market entry barriers will remain high due to the costs involved, but the market for small satellite launches will be the most competitive.
The insatiable demand for bandwidth, the need to replace obsolete or aging constellations, and significant technological advancements are all contributing to satellite market growth.
The number of space launches will trend upward to accommodate increasing demand for satellites, but the per launch cost will decrease.

Market Definitions

•This research service is an overview of estimated funding and activity for the global space launch systems and satellites market.
•The space launch systems market encompasses the cost to launch space vehicles into earth orbit or into deep space for research and exploration.
•The satellites market includes the cost to manufacture and integrate orbital satellites for communications, earth observation, exploration/research, navigation, reconnaissance, space transfer, and technology.
•France represents the EU because the European Space Agency (ESA), with the support of x eurozone countries, subsidizes launches through the French company Arianespace.
•Most viable launch facilities are fully-funded, or heavily subsidized, by governments for domestic commercial, civil, and military end users. Some companies are developing commercial launch sites, mostly focusing on small payload launches.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer

Is the global space launch and satellites market growing? How long will it continue to grow, and at what rate?
What segments, technologies, and services make up the market?
What are the leading market drivers, restraints, and trends?
What are the top programs for the space launch and satellites market?
What technologies and services will be emphasized?
What companies and/or countries are leading the market?

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