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Strategic Analysis of the Turkish Rail Market

  • December 2014
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 61 pages

Government Policy Driving Rail Investment to Unprecedented Levels

This strategic insight provides an outlook for growth opportunities in the Turkish rail market. Secondary and primary research was conducted, including interviews with suppliers, regulation authorities, and distributors. The study discusses key trends, market drivers and restraints, opportunities, market size, and forecasts for investments and rolling stock deliveries. It provides an overview of the Turkish State Railways organization, and the country’s current rail network. The study also highlights competitive factors, competitor market shares, and product portfolios. Key conclusions and a future outlook have been provided. The base year is 2014; the forecast period is from 2015 to 2021.

Executive Summary—Key Findings

Rail Market: Key Takeaways, Turkey, 2014
1 Overall growth in the rail sector is driven by factors such as public funding, rising freight volumes, and political stability. Between 2014 and 2021, rail infrastructure development projects in the country will be worth about € billion.
2 In the majority of projects, investment is directed toward construction of new high-speed lines, electrification, extensions, and infrastructure upgrades.
3 There are approximately locomotives and multiple units in active service, The overall fleet is moderately young, with several new deliveries expected by 2021.
4 Investment in coal power, railway privatization, and open access are projected to boost rail volumes and revenues.
5 Turkey is highly receptive to foreign investment in the rail market. Regulatory changes will promote foreign investments through public-private partnerships

Type of Rolling Stock
-Electric locomotives are expected to witness the highest growth rate.
- The demand for HSR rolling stock is expected to decline after 2020 as all projects come to a close.
- Separation of passenger and rail freight and infrastructure improvement are expected to boost rail freight volumes.

Table Of Contents

Strategic Analysis of the Turkish Rail Market
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
Executive Summary—Key Findings
Executive Summary—Overview of Rolling Stock in Turkey
Executive Summary—Intercontinental HSR between Asia and Europe
Executive Summary—Rolling Stock Market Share
Turkish Rail Technology Roadmap
Key Findings and Future Outlook

2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, BACKGROUND, AND METHODOLOGY

Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Key Questions this Study will Answer
Research Background
Research Methodology

3. DEFINITIONS AND SEGMENTATION

Definitions and Segmentation
Rail Market—Segmentation

4. INTRODUCTION TO THE TURKISH RAIL MARKET

Introduction to the Turkish Rail Market
Turkish Rail Network
Turkish State Railways Organization
Turkish Rail Traffic Volumes
Rail Traffic and the Economy
Comparison of Turkey With Top Countries by Rail Network Size
Rail Infrastructure Utilization
International Rail Freight Transport
Rail Freight by Commodity

5. MEGA TRENDS AND INDUSTRY CONVERGENCE IMPLICATIONS

Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
Impact of Top 4 Mega Trends on the Turkish Rail Market

6. DRIVERS AND RESTRAINTS—TOTAL RAIL MARKET

Drivers and Restraints—Total Rail Market
Market Drivers
Drivers Explained
Market Restraints
Restraints Explained

7. OVERVIEW OF INVESTMENT IN TURKISH RAIL

Overview of Investment in Turkish Rail
Vision 2023 Targets
Vision 2023—Turkish State Railways
Network Length and Electrification
Rail Investments
HSR Investment
Planned HSR Routes
Regional Rail Volume and Electrification
Rail Manufacturing
Turkish Rail Traffic Volume

8. RAIL ROLLING STOCK IN TURKEY

Rail Rolling Stock in Turkey
Rolling Stock Installed Base
Distribution of Rolling Stock in Active Service by Age
Rolling Stock Orders
Freight Wagons by Age
Passenger Cars by Age
Rolling Stock Distribution
Rolling Stock Competitive Analysis—Supplier Market Share
Rolling Stock Installed Base Unit Forecast
Rolling Stock Conclusions

9. CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

Conclusions and Future Outlook
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Key Conclusions
Legal Disclaimer

10. APPENDIX

Appendix
Market Engineering Methodology

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