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  4. > Italy Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

Italy Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

In spite of a return to economic growth in 2015 and 2016 and cheaper oil prices, Italy's petrochemicalsmarket looks in a precarious state. While the automotive industry is expected to post solid growth, theconstruction industry remains in recession. More and more of Italy's petrochemicals requirements,however, are imported as the country's industry emerges from a period of massive capacity cutbacks, withpotentially more in store.

The 490,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) Porto Marghera cracker was reopened in February 2015 and is likely tocontinue operations well into 2016. This extension of life to the cracker, which is scheduled for permanentclosure, was initially intended to serve customers of Shell's operations in the Netherlands, which weretemporarily shut down. However, lower naphtha feedstock costs are enabling it to continue operating longerthan the planned date of closure in September 2015. Eventually, the plant will be replaced by bio-basedchemical plants.

Table Of Contents

Italy Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 14
Production 15
Table: Italy Petrochemical Sector Forecasts 15
Macroeconomic Forecast 18
Economic Analysis 18
Table: Real GDP Growth Forecasts 24
Table: Italy Private Consumption Forecasts 26
Table: Italy Public Consumption Forecasts 26
Table: Italy Fixed Investment Forecasts 27
Table: Italy Net Export Forecasts 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 30
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 30
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure 33
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 34
Italy Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index 35
Market Overview 36
Table: Italy Petrochemical Sector - Cracker Capacity Data 38
Industry Trends And Developments 39
Refining 41
Company Profile 43
Versalis 43
Table: Versalis Financial Results 46
Eni 48
LyondellBasell 52
Table: LyondellBasell: Global Financial Results (USDmn) 53
Regional Overview 54
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins 54
Delays and Mothballing in the East 56
Global Industry Overview 62
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 62
2016 Feedstock Outlook 64
Could US Gas Run out? 65
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 66
Long-term Outlook 66
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 70
Demographic Forecast 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Italy 1990-2025) 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Italy 1990-2025) 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Italy 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Italy 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Italy 1990-2025) 74
Glossary 76
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 76
Methodology 77
Industry Forecast Methodology 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 79
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 80
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 81

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