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While LTE and LTE-Advanced deployments are still underway, wireless carriers and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop so-called “5G” technology, with a vision of commercialization by 2020.

5G is essentially a revolutionary paradigm shift in wireless networking to support the throughput, latency, and scalability requirements of future use cases such as extreme bandwidth augmented reality applications and connectivity management for billions of M2M (Machine to Machine) devices.

Although 5G is yet to be standardized, some of the collectively accepted attributes of the technology include new air interface transmission schemes, new spectrum bands, spectrum aggregation, Massive MIMO, beamforming, D2D (Device to Device) communications and self-backhauling, among others.

Driven by regional, national government, wireless carrier and vendor initiatives, we expect 5G R&D and trial investments will account for nearly $5 Billion by 2020, following a CAGR of nearly 40% over the next 5 years.

The “5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2015 – 2025 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, use cases, vertical market applications, spectrum bands, wireless carrier deployment commitments and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for both 5G investments and subscriptions.

The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report.

Table Of Contents

The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2015 - 2025 - Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies and Forecasts
Table of Contents
1 Chapter 1: Introduction 8
1.1 Executive Summary 8
1.2 Topics Covered 10
1.3 Historical Revenue and Forecast Segmentation 11
1.4 Key Questions Answered 12
1.5 Key Findings 13
1.6 Methodology 14
1.7 Target Audience 15
1.8 Companies and Organizations Mentioned 16

2 Chapter 2: The Evolving 5G Ecosystem 19
2.1 What is 5G? 19
2.2 5G Requirements 19
2.2.1 Data Volume 20
2.2.2 Throughput 20
2.2.3 Response Time and Latency 20
2.2.4 Device Density 20
2.2.5 Availability and Coverage 20
2.2.6 Battery Life 21
2.2.7 Energy Saving and Cost Reduction 21
2.3 5G Market Drivers 22
2.3.1 Why the Need for a 5G Standard? 22
2.3.2 Improving Spectrum Utilization 22
2.3.3 Advances in Air Interface Transmission Schemes 22
2.3.4 Gigabit Wireless Connectivity: Supporting Future Services 23
2.3.5 Moving Towards IoT (Internet of Things): Increasing Device Density 23
2.3.6 Towards a Flatter Network Architecture 23
2.4 Challenges and Inhibitors to 5G 24
2.4.1 Skepticism 24
2.4.2 Standardization Challenges: Too Many Stakeholders 24
2.4.3 Spectrum Regulation and Complexities 24
2.4.4 Massive MIMO, Beamforming and Antenna Technology Issues 25
2.4.5 Higher Frequencies Mean New Infrastructure 25
2.4.6 Complex Performance Requirements 26
2.4.7 Energy Efficiency and Technology Scaling 26
2.5 5G Applications and Use Cases 27
2.5.1 Extreme Bandwidth Applications: Video, Internet Gaming and Augmented Reality 27
2.5.2 MTC/M2M, IoT and Ubiquitous Communications 27
2.5.2.1 Short-burst Traffic 28
2.5.3 Vertical Industries and Safety Critical Domains 28
2.5.3.1 Automotive 28
2.5.3.2 Energy and Smart Grids 29
2.5.3.3 Transport and Logistics 29
2.5.3.4 Healthcare 29
2.5.3.5 Smart Cities 29
2.5.3.6 Public Safety 30
2.5.3.7 Fitness and Sports 30

3 Chapter 3: Enabling Technologies for 5G 31
3.1 Key Technologies and Concepts 31
3.1.1 Air Interface: Waveform Options 31
3.1.2 Massive MIMO 32
3.1.3 Phased Array Antennas 33
3.1.4 Beamforming 33
3.1.5 D2D (Device to Device) Communications 34
3.1.6 Self-Backhauling and Mesh Networking 35
3.1.7 Cognitive Radio and Spectrum Sensing 35
3.1.8 LSA (Licensed Shared Access) 36
3.1.9 Spectrum Aggregation 37
3.1.10 Integration of VLC (Visible Light Communication) 37
3.2 Complimentary Technologies 38
3.2.1 NFV and SDN 38
3.2.2 HetNet and C-RAN Architecture 39
3.2.2.1 Will C-RAN be the Default 5G Network Architecture? 39
3.2.3 Drones and Satellites 41
3.2.3.1 Satellite Integration in 5G Networks 41
3.2.3.2 Google and Facebook's Drone Ambitions 41
3.2.3.3 Interest from Wireless Carriers 41

4 Chapter 4: 5G Investments and Future Forecast 42
4.1 How much is being invested in 5G? 42
4.2 Global 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 43
4.2.1 Asia Pacific 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 44
4.2.2 Eastern Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 44
4.2.3 Latin and Central America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 45
4.2.4 Middle East and Africa 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 45
4.2.5 North America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 46
4.2.6 Western Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 46
5 Chapter 5: Spectrum Implications for 5G 47
5.1 Spectrum Options for 5G 47
5.2 Sub-1 GHz 47
5.3 3-4 GHz 48
5.4 5 GHz 48
5.5 15 GHz 48
5.6 28 GHz 48
5.7 60/70/80 GHz 48
5.8 Higher Bands 49

6 Chapter 6: 5G Standardization and Research Initiatives 50
6.1 ITU-R (ITU Radiocommunications Sector) 50
6.2 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project) 51
6.3 GSMA (GSM Association) 51
6.4 NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance 52
6.5 TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association) 52
6.6 European Commission Initiatives 53
6.6.1 METIS 53
6.6.2 5GPPP 54
6.6.3 5GNOW 54
6.7 National Government Initiatives 55
6.7.1 Korea's 5G Forum 55
6.7.2 Japan's ARIB 20B AH (2020 and Beyond AdHoc) 55
6.7.3 China's IMT-2020 55
6.7.4 China's 863-5G Project 55
6.8 Academic Initiatives 56
6.8.1 5GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey) 56
6.8.2 NYU WIRELESS (New York University) 56

7 Chapter 7: Vendor Demonstrations, Commitments and Strategies 57
7.1 Alcatel-Lucent 57
7.1.1 5G Strategy 57
7.1.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 57
7.2 Ericsson 58
7.2.1 5G Strategy 58
7.2.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 58
7.3 Fujitsu 59
7.3.1 5G Strategy 59
7.3.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 59
7.4 Huawei 60
7.4.1 5G Strategy 60
7.4.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 60
7.5 Intel 61
7.5.1 5G Strategy 61
7.5.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 61
7.6 NEC 62
7.6.1 5G Strategy 62
7.6.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 62
7.7 Nokia Networks 63
7.7.1 5G Strategy 63
7.7.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 63
7.8 Qualcomm 64
7.8.1 5G Strategy 64
7.8.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 64
7.9 Samsung 65
7.9.1 5G Strategy 65
7.9.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 65
7.10 ZTE 66
7.10.1 5G Strategy 66
7.10.2 Demonstrations and Trial Commitments 66

List of Figures
Figure 1: 5G Requirements 19
Figure 2: Potential Waveform Options for 5G 31
Figure 3: D2D Communication Scenarios 34
Figure 4: LSA Concept 36
Figure 5: C-RAN Architecture 40
Figure 6: Global Investments in 5G RandD and Trials: 2010 - 2020 ($ Million) 42
Figure 7: 5G Subscriptions by Region: 2020 - 2025 (Millions) 43
Figure 8: Asia Pacific 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 (Millions) 44
Figure 9: Eastern Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 (Millions) 44
Figure 10: Latin and Central America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 (Millions) 45
Figure 11: Middle East and Africa 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 (Millions) 45
Figure 12: North America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 (Millions) 46
Figure 13: Western Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2025 (Millions) 46
Figure 14: Spectrum Options for 5G and Vendor Advocates 47
Figure 15: METIS Members 53

List of Companies Mentioned
3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
Aalborg University
Aalto-University
Aeroflex
Aircom International
Alcatel-Lucent
Alpental Technologies
Anite
ARIB (Association of Radio Industries and Businesses, Japan)
Ascenta
Ascom International
BBC
BMW
BT
Chalmers University of Technology
China Mobile
Connected Digital Catapult
DoCoMo Euro-Labs
DT (Deutsche Telekom)
EE
EM3 (Enterprise M3)
Ericsson
Etisalat
European Commission
Facebook
Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft
Fujitsu
Fujitsu Laboratories of Europe
Google
GSMA (GSM Association)
Huawei
IBM
Institut Mines-Telecom
Intel
ITRI (Industrial Technology Research Institute)
ITU (International Telecommunication Union)
KTH - Royal Institute of Technology
MegaFon
Ministry of Industry, Development and Reform Commission, China
MOST (Ministry of Science and Technology, China)
MSIP (Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning, Korea)
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
NEC
New York University
NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance
Nokia
Nokia Networks
NTT DoCoMo
Ofcom
Orange
Poznan University of Technology
Qualcomm
Rohde and Schwarz
Roke Manor
RWTH Aachen
Samsung
SES S.A.
SingTel
SK Telecom
Telecom Italia
Telefónica
TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)
Titan Aerospace
Universitaet Bremen
Universitat Politecnica de Valencia
University of Kaiserslautern
University of Oulu
University of Surrey
Vodafone
ZTE

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