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  4. > Norway Power Report Q2 2016

Norway Power Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
Norway's already mature power sector will experience limited, but stable, growth throughout our forecast period due to electricity generation far exceeding consumption. Any investment in new capacity will focus on hydropower plants, which will crowd out thermal power and, to a lesser extent, wind power, due to lower level costs.


Latest Updates And Structural Trends
- We forecast total generation will grow from 135.7TWh in 2016 to 145.8TWh in 2025, on the back of new hydropower plants.
- We have updated our hydropower forecasts to include the addition of two new hydropower plants coming online between 2017 and 2019, namely the 80MW Rosten plant and the 370MW Lysebotn II plant (replacing the 210MW Lysebotn I plant).
- We have revised our non-hydropower renewables forecasts downwards, as we do not currently project any new capacity coming online within our forecast period. We forecast total electricity generated from
non-hydropower renewable sources to grow by an average of 0.5% y-o-y throughout our forecast period, generating 3.2TWh in 2025.
- A Norwegian competition regulator has ruled that Statnett should retain its monopoly on the construction and operation of international power links. This has reportedly been announced in order to prevent higher electricity prices.
- The Norwegian Energy Minister has stated that Statnett will have to assess the added impact of the interconnection links with Germany and the UK before constructing any new interconnection lines.

Table Of Contents

Norway Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Norway 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Norway Snapshot ... 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Norway 2015-2019) . 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Norway 2020-2025) . 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector . . 9
Norway Power Forecast Scenario ... 10
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast .. 10
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 12
Non-Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast ... 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data and Forecasts (Norway 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data and Forecasts (Norway 2020-2025) 16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Norway 2014-2019) . 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Norway 2020-2025) . 18
Electricity Consumption .. 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Norway 2014-2019) 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Norway 2020-2025) 20
Transmission and Distribution 20
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Norway 2014-2019) . . 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Norway 2020-2025) . . 21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Norway 2014-2019) . . 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Norway 2020-2025) . . 22
Industry Risk Reward Index . 23
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index ... 23
Norway Power Risk/Reward Index .. 29
Market Overview ... 31
Key Policies And Market Structure .. 31
Regulation And Competition . 31
Sustainable Energy Policies . 32
Pricing . 33
Norway Power Projects Database ... 33
Competitive Landscape 36
Company Profile 40
Statkraft . 40
Regional Overview 46
NAWE Power Regional Overview ... 46
Glossary . 53
Table: Glossary Of Terms 53
Methodology .. 54
Methodology And Sources . 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 57
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 59

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