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Cambodia and Laos Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
We have delayed our forecast for first oil production in Cambodia to 2018, following the slow progress of KrisEnergy's Apsara project. 2018 also marks the start-up of the refinery at Kompong Som, which will see the country become a net exporter of fuels.

Major trends and developments in Cambodia's oil and gas sector:
- We have revised our forecast for the start date of crude oil production in Cambodia from 2017 to 2018 due to the slow progress of KrisEnergy's Apsara project.
- According to KrisEnergy in August 2015, technical and fiscal terms concerning the development of the block have been agreed with the government, and a request for production license is in process. The company aims to commence production approximately 24 months after final investment decision is declared. Production will peak in 2021 at 9,400 barrels per day.
- Construction of Cambodia's first refinery at Kompong Som is under way. We expect the 100,000b/d facility to come online in 2018.
- From 2018, refined fuels production will be able to meet the growing domestic demand completely and there will be a small surplus for export to neighbouring countries.

Table Of Contents

Cambodia and Laos Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Cambodia 2014-2020) . . 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT ... 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates . 9
Structural Trends . 9
Upstream Projects ... 11
Table: Cambodia - Upstream Projects . . 11
Upstream Production - Oil 12
Latest Updates ... 12
Structural Trends ... 12
Table: Oil Production (Cambodia 2014-2019) 13
Table: Oil Production (Cambodia 2020-2025) 13
Upstream Production - Gas ... 13
Table: Gas Production (Cambodia 2014-2019) . . 13
Table: Gas Production (Cambodia 2020-2025) . . 14
Refining . 14
Latest Updates ... 14
Structural Trends ... 14
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Cambodia 2014-2019) . . 16
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Cambodia 2020-2025) . . 16
Refined Fuels Consumption ... 16
Latest Updates ... 16
Structural Trends ... 17
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Cambodia 2014-2019) . 18
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Cambodia 2020-2025) . 18
Gas Consumption 18
Table: Gas Consumption (Cambodia 2014-2019) 18
Table: Gas Consumption (Cambodia 2020-2025) 18
Trade - Oil . 19
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 19
Latest Updates ... 19
Structural Trends ... 19
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Cambodia 2014-2019) . 20
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Cambodia 2020-2025) . 20
Fuels Trade Forecasts 21
Latest Updates ... 21
Structural Trends ... 21
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Cambodia 2014-2019) 22
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Cambodia 2020-2025) 23
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 23
Table: Gas Net Exports (Cambodia 2014-2019) . 23
Industry Risk Reward Index . 24
Asia - Risk/Reward Index .. 24
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Persistent Oil Price Weakness Underpins Bearish Outlook ... 25
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index . 25
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Projection For Weaker Economic Growth Undermines India's Scores . 28
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index . 28
Cambodia - Risk/Reward Index .. 30
Market Overview ... 32
Cambodia Energy Market Overview 32
Regulatory Structure ... 32
Fiscal Regime 32
Table: Cambodia - Upstream Tax Regime . . 32
Licensing Regime ... 32
Table: Cambodia - Contract And Licensing Regime 32
Licensing Rounds ... 33
Table: Onshore and Offshore Block Licence Holders . 33
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 34
Table: Refineries Cambodia . 34
Regional Overview 35
Industry Trend Analysis 35
Glossary . 43
Table: Glossary Of Terms 43
Methodology .. 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Source . 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 47
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index . 49
Table: Weighting 50

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