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  5. > New Zealand Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

New Zealand Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

BMI View: Limited scope for new oil and gas will maintain the long-term downtrend in New Zealand'shydrocarbon production over the next 10 years. Declining gas production is a particular concern as thecountry does not have any gas import infrastructure to make up for diminishing local volumes via imports.New Zealand will remain a net importer of crude oil owing to falling domestic production, a slowdown inexploration due to low oil prices and rising run rates at its refinery.

- New Zealand's crude oil and liquids production is set to nearly halve over the next decade, as lack of newdiscoveries and natural declines at ageing fields weigh on the country's ability to sustain current levels ofoutput over the long-term.

- Additional gas from the Mangahewa and the Pohokura fields will support natural gas production toincrease through to 2020, though limited scope for new discoveries will allow natural declines take its tollon overall output from 2021 and thereafter.

Table Of Contents

New Zealand Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (New Zealand 2014-2020) 7
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (New Zealand 2014-2019) 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (New Zealand 2020-2025) 11
Upstream Projects 12
Table: New Zealand - Key Upstream Projects 12
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Oil Production (New Zealand 2014-2019) 16
Table: Oil Production (New Zealand 2020-2025) 17
Upstream Production - Gas 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Gas Production (New Zealand 2014-2019) 19
Table: Gas Production (New Zealand 2020-2025) 20
Refining 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (New Zealand 2014-2019) 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (New Zealand 2020-2025) 23
Refined Fuels Consumption 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption (2014-2019) 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption (New Zealand 2020-2025) 27
Gas Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Gas Consumption (New Zealand 2014-2019) 30
Table: Gas Consumption (New Zealand 2020-2025) 30
Trade - Oil 31
Crude Oil Forecasts 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (New Zealand 2014-2019) 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (New Zealand 2020-2025) 33
Fuels Trade Forecasts 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 34
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (New Zealand 2014-2019) 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (New Zealand 2020-2025) 35
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (New Zealand 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (New Zealand 2020-2025) 37
Industry Risk Reward Index 38
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 38
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Persistent Oil Price Weakness Underpins Bearish Outlook 39
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 39
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Projection For Weaker Economic Growth Undermines India's Scores 42
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 42
New Zealand - Risk/Reward Index 44
New Zealand Upstream Index - Overview 44
New Zealand Upstream Index - Rewards 44
New Zealand Upstream Index - Risks 44
New Zealand Downstream Index - Overview 45
Market Overview 46
New Zealand Energy Market Overview 46
Regulatory Structure 46
Table: 2013 Permit Duration Changes 46
Fiscal Regime 47
Table: Key Fiscal Indicators 47
Licensing Rounds 47
Table: 2015 Block Offer Winners 48
Table: 2016 Block Offer Release Areas 49
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 50
Oil Refineries 50
Table: Oil Refineries 50
Oil Trade And Storage Facilities 50
Oil And Gas Pipelines 50
Gas Storage Facilities 50
Regional Overview 52
Industry Trend Analysis 52
Glossary 60
Table: Glossary Of Terms 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Source 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 66
Table: Weighting 67

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